NCAA Basketball Picks: Villanova Wildcats vs. Cincinnati Bearcats

Villanova Wildcats at Cincinnati Bearcats
Tuesday, 2/12/13, 8:00 PM EST, TV:  ESPN3
Opening Point Spread:  Cincinnati -6
Current Betting Line:  Cincinnati -8
Opening Total:  127
Current Total:  127
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

College Football Sportsbook
The Cincinnati Bearcats swept last year’s season series with the Villanova Wildcats

Villanova has won back-to-back contests after suffering a two-game losing streak, which includes a 68-40 victory over the South Florida Bulls as nine-point home favorites last time out, while going UNDER the total for the third time in four contests.  The Wildcats have knocked down 17 of 31 shots from beyond the arc in their last two games, which directly following hitting just 5 of 25 such attempts in dropping games to Notre Dame and Providence.  Villanova is 7-1 ATS on the road this year, which is important to consider when looking over the college basketball betting lines Tuesday night.

The Wildcats have four starters averaging nine or more points per game, with guard Darrun Hilliard leading the way at 11.7.  When Villanova has scored 70 or more points this season, it has compiled a 10-1 record, while going 4-8 when failing to hit that number.  Hilliard has upped his production over the last eight games, averaging 16.2 points per game in that span, while shooting 53.8 percent from the field.  The program is 6-3 all-time versus Cincinnati, but dropped a pair of contests in the final minute a season ago.

Cincinnati will try to snap a two-game losing streak, as it suffered a 62-52 setback to the Pittsburgh Panthers as one-point home favorites last time out, while going UNDER the total for the ninth time in 10 contests.  The Bearcats have three probable starters averaging in double figures, with junior guard Sean Kilpatrick leading the way, averaging 18.2 points per game.  He has led the team in scoring in each of the last six contests—scoring 21.0 points on 40 percent shooting from the field in that span.  Cincinnati is 0-2 ATS as home favorites of 6.5 to 9 points this season, which can’t be ignored when making your college basketball picks against the spread.

The Bearcats have been out-rebounded in only three of their 24 games this season—a trend that should continue at Fifth Third Arena in this affair.  Cincinnati ranks 11th nationally in out-rebounding foes by a plus-8.3 margin this season, while trailing only 12 teams in allowing foes to shoot 37.6 percent from the field.

Sports bettors will likely back the Bearcats due to their 3-0 ATS mark after failing to cover the spread in two or more consecutive games, while the underdog is 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings in this series.

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