College Basketball Picks: Kentucky Wildcats vs. Florida Gators

No. 25 Kentucky Wildcats at No. 7 Florida Gators
Tuesday, 2/12/13, 7:00 PM EST, TV:  ESPN
Opening Point Spread:  Florida -10
Current Betting Line:  Florida -10.5
Opening Total:  134
Current Total:  134
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Florida Gators are 3-3 ATS as home favorites of 9.5 to 12 points the last two-plus seasons
The Florida Gators are 3-3 ATS as home favorites of 9.5 to 12 points the last two-plus seasons

Kentucky has won five games in a row, including a 72-62 victory over the Auburn Tigers as 17-point home favorites last Saturday, while going UNDER the total in two consecutive contests.  The Wildcats are the only team in the country to have scored 70 or more points in eight of their last nine games.  Six players are averaging double figures in scoring over the squad’s current winning streak, while outscoring opponents by a 76.6 to 65.8 margin.  Kentucky is 5-2 ATS as an underdog the last two-plus seasons, which can’t be ignored when making your NCAA basketball picks Tuesday night.

The Wildcats are 93-33 all-time against the Gators, including wins in five straight—all three during the 2011-12 campaign.  Kentucky has been getting tremendous play on the defensive end from Nerlens Noel, who was just named the Southeastern Conference’s Freshman of the Week for a fourth-consecutive week.  He ranks first nationally in averaging 4.5 blocks per game, while being the only player standing 6-5 or taller to rank in the top-30 in steals.

Florida has failed to cover the spread in three consecutive contests, as it comes off an 83-58 victory over the Mississippi State Bulldogs as 27.5-point home favorites, while going OVER the total in each contest during that span.  The Gators have won 11 of their last 12 games and are 11-0 at the Stephen C. O’Connell Center this season.  The program is 3-1 versus ranked foes this year, including a perfect 3-0 mark at home.  Florida is 3-3 ATS as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points the last two-plus seasons, with the OVER going 5-1 in that situation.

The Gators are going to receive a good amount of action due to the number that’s available on the college basketball odds page, as they lead the country in point differential, outscoring opponents by an average of 21.5 points per game.  Florida is allowing just 52.7 points per game, while holding eight teams to 20 or fewer points in the first half.

Sports bettors will likely play the total in this affair, as the OVER is 4-1 in the Gators last five home games.

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