NBA Western Conference First Round: Memphis Grizzlies at San Antonio Spurs Game Two

2016 NBA Playoffs
Western Conference Quarterfinals – Game #2
#7 Memphis Grizzlies vs #2 San Antonio Spurs
Spurs lead Best of Seven Series 1-0
Tuesday, April 19, 2016, 9:35 pm Eastern, TV: TNT
AT&T Center – San Antonio, Texas
Opening Line: San Antonio -17
Current Line: San Antonio -18
Opening Total: 187
Current Total: 187
Opening Money Line: Spurs -7000 / Grizzlies +3000
Current Money Line: Spurs -6000 / Grizzlies +2750

The Spurs are heavy favorites against the Grizzlies in game two Tuesday night.
The Spurs are heavy favorites against the Grizzlies in game two Tuesday night.

The #2 seed San Antonio Spurs crushed the injury ravaged #7 seed Memphis Grizzlies 106-74 Sunday in game one of the Western Conference Quarterfinals. Game two is Tuesday night in San Antonio. The Spurs went 67-15 in the regular season and won the Southwest Division by 25 games over the 42-40 Grizzlies and Dallas Mavericks.

Memphis is coached by Dave Joerger. The Grizzlies were the #5 seed for most of the season, but are ravaged by injuries. In fact of the twelve players who played in the season opener only four will be available for the series against the Spurs. Memphis has gone 1-11 down the stretch, including five straight losses, but held on for a playoff spot. Memphis is 42-40-1 ATS and the total is 45-36-2 this season.

San Antonio is coached by Gregg Popovich. San Antonio is 45-38 ATS and the total is 35-46-2 this season.

In game one, San Antonio was a 17 point favorite and the total was 188.5. The Grizzlies hung tough and trailed by two points late in the second quarter, but the Spurs would take a 48-37 lead into halftime. San Antonio dominated the third quarter 33-14 and the rout was on.

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Memphis is being outscored 101-99 this season. The Grizzlies are #24 in scoring. Memphis is shooting 44% from the field and 33.1% from three point range. The Grizzlies are #23 or worse in both categories. Memphis makes 78.3% of their free throws and are #9 in that category. Opponents are shooting 45.6% from the field and 36.5% from three point range. The Grizzlies average 41.6 rebounds per game and opponents average 43.2 per game. The Grizzlies are #28 in rebounding. Memphis averages 20.7 assists, 12.7 turnovers, 8.8 steals and 4.3 blocks per game.

Center Marc Gasol, guards Mike Conley and Jordan Adams, plus forward Brandan Wright are all out for the season. Guard Tony Allen is probable with a hamstring injury. Gasol averaged 16.6 points, 7 rebounds, 3.8 assists and 1.4 steals per game. Conley averaged 15.3 points, 2.9 rebounds, 6.1 assists and 1.2 steals per game. Zach Randolph averages 15.3 points, 78 rebounds and 2.1 steals per game. Lance Stephenson averages 14.2 points, 4.4 rebounds, and 2.8 assists per game. Jordan Farmar, Matt Barnes and Vince Carter will also get time in the rotation.

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San Antonio is outscoring teams 104-93. The Spurs are #10 in scoring and #1 in points allowed. San Antonio is shooting 48.4% from the field and 37.5% from three point range. The Spurs make 80.3% of their free throws. San Antonio is #2 in all three shooting categories. Opponents are shooting 43.6% from the field and 33.1% from three point range. The Spurs are #4 in field goal defense and #1 in three point defense. San Antonio averages 43.9 rebounds per game and opponents average 40.5 per game. The Spurs are #3 in rebounds allowed. San Antonio averages 24.5 assists, 12.5 turnovers, 8.3 steals and 5.9 blocks per game.

Kawhi Leonard averages 21.2 points, 6.8 rebounds, 2.6 assists and 1.8 steals per game. LaMarcus Aldridge averages 18 points, 8.5 rebounds, 1.5 assists and 1.1 blocks per game. Tony Parker averages 11.9 points, 5.3 assists and 2.4 rebounds per game. Manu Ginobili averages 9.6 points, 3.1 assists, 2.5 rebounds and 1.1 steals per game. Tim Duncan averages 8.6 points, 7.3 rebounds, 2.7 assists and 1.3 blocks per game. Patty Mills, Boris Diaw, Danny Green and David West will also get time in the rotation.

Memphis is 18-21 ATS as a road underdog, 19-22 in road games, 3-5 in April, 6-4 in Tuesday games, 7-10 against Southwest Division teams, 6-5 in first round games, 19-7 after allowing 105 points or more, 5-6 after scoring 85 points or less, 15-21 against teams with winning records, and 4-6 after 3 or more straight losses.

San Antonio is 44-33 ATS as a favorite, 24-18 at home, 2-6 in April, 4-2 in Tuesday games, 6-9 in first round games, 13-8 after allowing 85 points or less, 21-23 after win by 10 points or more, 20-18 after scoring 105 points or more, 21-21 after three or more straight wins, and 20-22 against teams with winning records. The Spurs have won 11 of the last 13 games against the Grizzlies and are 9-4 ATS in those games. The over is 8-5 in this series recently.

Memphis hung around in the first half, but San Antonio simply had too much in the second half of game one. The Grizzlies can look for inspiration from the Dallas Mavericks, who are also injury riddled. Dallas lost game one against Oklahoma City by 38 points in game one, but rebounded with a stunning 85-84 upset Monday night in game two. Unfortunately, Sam Antonio is a better team than OKC, so I see another blowout win for the Spurs against the undermanned Grizzlies.

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