NBA Playoffs Game Four Betting Picks: San Antonio Spurs at Memphis Grizzlies

2016 NBA Playoffs
Western Conference Quarterfinals – Game #4
#2 San Antonio Spurs at #7 Memphis Grizzlies
Spurs lead Best of Seven Series 3-0
Sunday, April 24, 2016, 1:05 pm Eastern, TV: ABC
FedEx Forum – Memphis, Tennessee
Opening Line: San Antonio -13
Current Line: San Antonio -13
Opening Total: 183
Current Total: 183
Opening Money Line: Spurs -1600 / Grizzlies +900
Current Money Line: Spurs -1300 / Grizzlies +850

The Spurs look to complete the sweep against the undermanned Grizzlies Sunday.
The Spurs look to complete the sweep against the undermanned Grizzlies Sunday.

Of the eight first series in the NBA Playoffs, only the San Antonio Spurs and Cleveland Cavaliers have a chance to sweep their respective series. Both teams play on Sunday. The San Antonio Spurs have dominated the injury decimated Memphis Grizzlies so far. The Spurs won game one 106-74 and game two 94-68 both in San Antonio. Memphis made it closer in game three at home in a 96-87 loss Friday night.

San Antonio is coached by Gregg Popovich. San Antonio is 46-39 ATS and the total is 35-48-2 this season. The Spurs went 67-15 in the regular season and won the Southwest Division by 25 games over the 42-40 Grizzlies and Dallas Mavericks. Normally, 67 wins would get you the #1 seed and home court through the playoffs, but the Golden State Warriors won an NBA record 73 games.

Memphis is coached by Dave Joerger. Memphis has gone 1-13 down the stretch, including seven straight losses, but held on for a playoff spot. Memphis is 43-41-1 ATS and the total is 45-38-2 this season.

In game three, San Antonio was an 11.5 point favorite and the total was 183.5. San Antonio took an eight point lead at the end of the first, but would only lead 44-43 at halftime. Memphis hung around and actually led by one going into the fourth. San Antonio pulled away in the fourth and grabbed the nine point win to put the Grizzlies on the brink of elimination. The Spurs went 12/26 from three point range while the Grizzlies went 4/18. Kawhi Leonard scored 32 points and added 7 rebounds, 2 assists, 4 steals and 5 blocks. LaMarcus Aldridge had 16 points and 10 rebounds. Zach Randolph had 20 points and 11 rebounds for the Grizzlies.

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San Antonio is outscoring teams 104-93. The Spurs are #10 in scoring and #1 in points allowed. San Antonio is shooting 48.4% from the field and 37.5% from three point range. The Spurs make 80.3% of their free throws. San Antonio is #2 in all three shooting categories. Opponents are shooting 43.6% from the field and 33.1% from three point range. The Spurs are #4 in field goal defense and #1 in three point defense. San Antonio averages 43.9 rebounds per game and opponents average 40.5 per game. The Spurs are #3 in rebounds allowed. San Antonio averages 24.5 assists, 12.5 turnovers, 8.3 steals and 5.9 blocks per game.

Kawhi Leonard averages 21.2 points, 6.8 rebounds, 2.6 assists and 1.8 steals per game. LaMarcus Aldridge averages 18 points, 8.5 rebounds, 1.5 assists and 1.1 blocks per game. Tony Parker averages 11.9 points, 5.3 assists and 2.4 rebounds per game. Manu Ginobili averages 9.6 points, 3.1 assists, 2.5 rebounds and 1.1 steals per game. Tim Duncan averages 8.6 points, 7.3 rebounds, 2.7 assists and 1.3 blocks per game. Patty Mills, Boris Diaw, Danny Green and David West will also get time in the rotation.

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Memphis is being outscored 101-99 this season. The Grizzlies are #24 in scoring. Memphis is shooting 44% from the field and 33.1% from three point range. The Grizzlies are #23 or worse in both categories. Memphis makes 78.3% of their free throws and are #9 in that category. Opponents are shooting 45.6% from the field and 36.5% from three point range. The Grizzlies average 41.6 rebounds per game and opponents average 43.2 per game. The Grizzlies are #28 in rebounding. Memphis averages 20.7 assists, 12.7 turnovers, 8.8 steals and 4.3 blocks per game.

Center Marc Gasol, guards Mike Conley and Jordan Adams, plus forwards Brandan Wright and Jarell Martin are all out for the season. Gasol averaged 16.6 points, 7 rebounds, 3.8 assists and 1.4 steals per game. Conley averaged 15.3 points, 2.9 rebounds, 6.1 assists and 1.2 steals per game. Zach Randolph averages 15.3 points, 78 rebounds and 2.1 steals per game. Lance Stephenson averages 14.2 points, 4.4 rebounds, and 2.8 assists per game. Jordan Farmar, Matt Barnes, Tony Allen and Vince Carter will also get time in the rotation.

San Antonio is 10-4 ATS against Southeast teams, 3-7 against Western Conference teams, 3-8 overall, 5-14 after a straight up win, 2-7 against teams with winning records, 1-4 in road games and on one day rest, and 1-6 after failing to cover. The favorite is 7-2 ATS in this series recently. The Spurs are 6-2 ATS in this series recently and 7-3 in Memphis.

Memphis is 6-1 ATS against teams with winning records, 21-8 at home, 1-3-1 in first round games, 1-4 after a straight up loss, against teams with winning records, overall, against Western Conference teams, and against Southwest teams, 0-5 after a cover and 0-4 in Sunday games. The last four games in this series have gone under the total.

Memphis gave a great effort at home in game three. This team has a lot of heart and won’t give up. Unfortunately, they simply don’t have enough to avoid a sweep. The Spurs grind out another win in a low scoring affair.

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