Monday Night Football: Bovada Selected Quarterback Prop Betting – Lions at Giants

Lions Redskins NFL Preview
Matthew Stafford and the Detroit Lions are 3-point dogs after winning handily in Week 1.


Detroit Lions at New York Giants Prop Betting
Time: 8:30 PM EST
Game Line: NYG -3

Prop bets c/o Bovada

Matthew Stafford over/under 270.5 yards
Over (-140); Under (+110)

OVER. Matthew Stafford threw for 292 yards in Week 1, and last season the former Georgia quarterback threw for 270 yards or more in seven games. Against the Giants last year, Stafford bested the mark, too, with 273 yards in the game. Stafford did not throw a touchdown that game, however, as the Lions fell 6-17, and Stafford threw an interception. Even so, we like his chances of racking up mass passing yardage this week.

Giants Redskins Betting Preview
Is it the beginning of the end for Giants quarterback Eli Manning, now 36?

Eli Manning over/under 265.5 yards
Over (-125); Under (-105)

Eli Manning is showing the signs of decline at age 36. It happens sooner for some than others, but his accuracy has been questionable through just one game this season, and though he was 28 of 39 in the opener, his 220 yards made scarcely a dent as he managed no touchdowns and threw one pick.

We are (extremely) bullish on Manning tonight to say the very least, simply because a player is only as good as his last game, as the dictum tends to go. While Manning’s struggles were not 100 percent his fault, with a shaky line and bobbling receivers, neither of those things tend to bode well for the quarterback. Last season the Giants were poor offensively and averaged just 19.4 points per game, and we feel confident in the UNDER on this prop bet.

Also well worthy of note is that Odell Beckham is battling injury and sat out week 1. His status for this game is questionable, but if he plays he will likely be less than 100 percent. That is bad news for Manning, especially with his backup Brandon Marshall struggling as he has.

Matthew Stafford over/under 1.5 Touchdown passes
Over (-130); Under (EVEN)

This ‘1.5’ mark is just all too tricky. Stafford, as mentioned, failed to throw a TD pass last year against the Giants, and he had just seven games with two touchdowns or more (oddly the same ratio as his 270-plus yardage games). What makes this bet a little different than the yardage is that the Lions do have a penchant for going with the pass in the red zone.

Stafford proved that last week with his four TD passes in Detroit’s win over the Arizona Cardinals. The fact that Ameer Abdullah struggled makes it all the more likely that Stafford is throwing the ball when Detroit gets in the red zone. OVER.

Eli Manning over/under 1.5 Touchdown passes
Over (-170); Under (+140)

While Manning has certainly struggled, 1.5 touchdowns does keep the bar low and achievable. While he may not amass the 265 yards needed for the first prop bet, Manning still could get two touchdowns and go ‘over’ on this mark.

However, given his struggles, it is a bet we lack confidence in and advocate a PUSH on this bet. He could throw one, he could throw two, but the 1.5 mark right in between is deadly accurate for a prop bet, of course. PUSH.

Matthew Stafford over/under 24 completions
Over (-130); Under (EVEN)

OVER. Stafford was 29 of 41 last week, and in the 2016 season, he threw 24 completions or more in exactly half the Lions’ games (eight). However, Stafford started last season with a pair of 26-reception games and had 24 or more completions in four of the first five Lions’ games. Given Detroit’s hot start in Week 1, we are going to assume a similar trend this season for Stafford and his receiving core.

Eli Manning over/under 23.5 completions
Over (-140); Under (+110)

OVER. While Manning may fall short on the yardage, he has been getting a lot of shorter pass plays in that will help him surpass the completion mark. Even in last week’s poor showing, he did so. The overwhelming cry is that Manning is washed, but getting enough completions to get short yardage and surpass 23.5 is still in play.

Matthew Stafford over/under 0.5 Interceptions
Over (-190); Under (+155)

OVER. Due to the fact the Lions backfield has hardly got it going yet, and the fact Stafford threw a pick in each of the first four games last season (including two against the lowly Chicago Bears), the sheer volume at which he will be passing the ball tonight makes one INT quite likely…

Of course, NFL oddsmakers at Bovada mostly agree in setting the line heavy in favor one pick at -190.

Eli Manning over/under 0.5 Interceptions
Over (-175); Under (+145)

OVER. The value at -175 on the over is not tremendous, but after throwing a pick last week and AVERAGING one pick per game last season (16), it is bet on the safer side he continues his errant ways and throws at least one, and hopefully for the Giants sake it is not a pick-6. Though New York is favored in this game, it is easily one that can flop and we expect the Lions to come in and take one.

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