MLB Picks: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves

The Milwaukee Brewers (28-19) and Atlanta Braves (25-20) will close out a National League series Thursday night at Turner Field, with the first pitch scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves 

The Milwaukee Brewers are 2-5 in their last 7 games as underdogs
The Milwaukee Brewers are 2-5 in their last 7 games as underdogs

Milwaukee snapped a four-game losing streak by picking up a 6-1 win over Atlanta as +127 road underdogs Wednesday, while pushing up against the betting total of 7.  The Brewers will be led by catcher Jonathan Lucroy offensively, who has gone 10 for 20 in six contests against the Braves this season.  It’s important to point out that Carlos Gomez’ two-run homer yesterday snapped a streak of nine straight solo round trippers by the center fielder.  Milwaukee is 2-5 in its last seven games as an underdog.

Brewers starting pitcher Matt Garza (2-4, 4.83 ERA) was handed a 3-0 road defeat by the Chicago Cubs last time out, as he surrendered three runs and four hits over seven innings of work.  The right-hander is 0-2 with a 6.86 ERA in four road appearances—issuing 10 walks and striking out 17 batters in 21 combined frames.  In four career starts versus the Braves, Garza has compiled a 0-3 record and 4.50 ERA.

Atlanta has split its last 10 games, with no clear edge in terms of the betting total in that span (4-4-2 Over/Under).  Braves outfielder Justin Upton has done his best work at the plate at this ballpark—hitting .400 with nine home runs and a 1.296 OPS in 23 games in that situation.  Upton has tallied just two hits in 13 career at-bats versus Garza.  Atlanta is 7-2 in its last nine opportunities as a favorite.

Braves starting pitcher Aaron Harang (4-4, 2.98 ERA) has received a loss in three of his last four trips to the mound, including a 4-1 setback on the road to the St. Louis Cardinals last time out, as he gave up three runs (two earned) and six hits over six innings of work.  The right-hander is 2-2 with a 2.10 ERA in five home appearances in 2014.  In his last five outings versus the Brewers, Harang has tallied a 2-1 record and 1.42 ERA.

Sports bettors will likely back the Braves due to their 12-5 mark in their last 17 games versus NL Central opponents.

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