Ivy League II: Cornell Big Red at Princeton Tigers

Cornell Big Red AT Princeton Tigers
Feb 25, 2011 at 7 PM EST
Opening Line:  Princeton -10.5
Current Line:  Princeton -9.5
Opening Total:  131.5
Current Total:  131
Opening Moneyline:  Prince -600 / Corn +475
Current Moneyline:  Prince -600 / Corn +400

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Princeton opened as double digit favorites

Tonight’s game features Ivy League Conference rivals Princeton (20-5) and Cornell (7-17).  Princeton is 8-1 in Ivy League play and sits at 2nd in the Ivy League while Cornell is 3-7 in Ivy League play and ranks 6th of 8 in the Ivy League.

Cornell has won 3 of their last 5 games now, but still sit well below .500.  Of those last 5 games, all 5 were against Ivy League opponents, and the losses came against the two best of the Ivy league, Princeton and Harvard.  Princeton just had a 10 game winning streak snapped by Brown in a 75-65 loss.  It was Princeton’s first loss since November 24th.

Some betting trends:

Cornell is 2-10 SU in their last 12 road games and the total has gone OVER in 4 of Cornell’s last 6 on the road.  Cornell is 4-8-2 ATS in their last 14 games on the road against the Tigers and Cornell is 5-1 SU in their last 6 on the road at Princeton.  Cornell is 5-10 SU in their last 15 road games at Princeton and the total has gone OVER in 4 of Cornell’s last 6 road games against the Tigers.

Princeton is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games and 10-1 SU in their last 11 games.  The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Princeton’s last 7 games and Princeton is 5-0 SU in their last 5 home games.  The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Princeton’s last 5 against Cornell and Princeton is 2-7 SU in their last 9 against Cornell.  Princeton is 2-3-1 ATS in their last 6 home games against Cornell and they are 10-5 SU in their last 15 at home against Cornell.  Princeton is 1-5 SU in their last 6 home games against Cornell and the total has gone OVER in 4 of Princeton’s last 6 home games against Cornell.

Princeton is led by the quartet of Ian Hummer, Kareem Maddox, Dan Mavraides, and Douglas Davis.  Together, the four of them average 53 a game, which is 75% of Princeton’s total scoring output.  Hummer, a 6’7″ sophomore forward, leads the way with 14.0 points per game, 6.8 rebounds per game and over a block and over a steal per game.  He has scored in double figures in all but 5 games, and Princeton won all 5 of the games he did not, anyway.  His best game of the year came in a 2 point road loss to Presbyterian when he managed 24 points and 24 rebounds, going 10 of 13 from the floor.  Maddox, a 6’8″ senior forward, leads the team in rebounding with 7.8 boards a game and is second in scoring with 13.2 points per game.  He has accrued three double doubles so far, and Princeton has won all three of those games.  His best effort so far came in a 9 point win over Siena, when he scored 30 points and grabbed 10 rebounds.

Cornell is led by the trio of Chris Wroblewski, Andrew Ferry, and Errick Peck, who combine for 38.4 points per game, 58% of Cornell’s scoring output.  The 6’0″ junior Wroblewski is the only Cornell player to play over thirty minutes a game, and he does play well.  He puts up 15.5 points per game and 5.9 assists giving Cornell a decent point guard at least.  Moreover, he shoots 41% from three (32 of 78).   He’s had a couple of impressive outings, scoring 25 against Saint Boniventure and 29 against Stony Brook, but he hasn’t had any particularly impressive games against the better teams that Cornell has played (and their schedule IS soft).

Tonight’s game should go easliy to Princeton.  Cornell doesn’t have any prime time players to step up and run with the Tigers and the college basketball oddsmakers have set the line appropriately in nearly double digts in Princeton’s favor.

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