Friday Night College Football Picks: Colorado State Rams at Wyoming Cowboys

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Colorado State at Wyoming

Time: 8 PM CST (Friday)

Spread: WYO -7

Total: 51

Odds c/o 5dimes

The Wyoming Cowboys are 6-4 and 3-3 in Mountain West play. It hosts Colorado State as 7-point favorites at 8 PM (CST) Friday night on ESPN2. The over/under is set at 51 total points according to college football oddsmakers at bookmaker 5dimes.

WYO

Wyoming is coming off consecutive losses to Boise State and Utah State its last two outings. Prior to that, it had won two-straight over New Mexico and Nevada. Wyoming has got it done with its defense, holding its opponents to just 18.7 points per game while averaging a respectable 26.9 itself, good for a point differential of +8.2 points. The Cowboys have a top rushing attack that averages 219.6 yards per game, placing it in the top-20 of rush offense. Its pass game is weak, though, amassing just 134.4 yards per game and ranking in the bottom-10 of FBS teams.

Wyoming features a dual-threat QB, but he is not much of a threat with his arm. Sean Chambers has completed just 43 percent of his passes this season for 915 yards, but he has rushed 90 times for 567 yards and a team-high 10 touchdowns. Lead running back Xaz Valladay has 180 attempts at 4.7 yards-per-attempt for 869 yards and five touchdowns.

Three others have topped 100 yards on the season, and Wyoming averages 4.9 yards-per-carry as a team. The top receiver has been Raghib Ismail Jr, who has 14 catches for 240 yards and two touchdowns. The Cowboys have six players with 120 yards or more on the season, but it has scored just eight receiving touchdowns on the year while having racked up 23 via the rush.

COL ST

Colorado State is 4-6 on the season and 3-3 in conference play. It had a three-game win streak snapped last week as it fell 21-38 to Air Force. The Rams are -2.0 on point differential this season, as it is giving up 32.6 points per game and not doing well on the defensive end. Its pass offense helps make up for it some (No. 12 at 315.4 yards per game), but Colorado State will likely conclude the season with a losing record, as its finale comes against AP Ranked Boise State.

The Rams have ridden the arm of one Patrick O’Brien: He has thrown for 2,297 yards with 10 TDs and four interceptions while having incurred 21 sacks and posting a passer rating or 142.7. O’Brien is horrible as a rush threat, with his 51 attempts resulting in negative-38 yards, though he has managed two rushing touchdowns. His top two targets have been Warren Jackson and Dante Wright. The duo has combined for almost 1.7k yards and 10 of the team’s 18 receiving touchdowns.

ATS TRENDS (All trends C/o Covers):

Colorado State
  • Rams are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
  • Rams are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
  • Rams are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a double-digit loss at home.
  • Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Rams are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
  • Rams are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Rams are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
  • Rams are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Rams are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Rams are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games on turf.
  • Rams are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 Friday games.
Wyoming
  • Cowboys are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.

OU TRENDS

Colorado State
  • Under is 6-0 in Rams last 6 games in November.
  • Under is 5-0 in Rams last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 8-1 in Rams last 9 conference games.
  • Under is 7-1 in Rams last 8 games following a straight up loss.
  • Under is 6-1 in Rams last 7 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-1 in Rams last 6 games overall.
  • Under is 4-1 in Rams last 5 games following a ATS loss.
  • Under is 7-2 in Rams last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Under is 8-3 in Rams last 11 Friday games.
  • Under is 5-2 in Rams last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Wyoming
  • Under is 4-0 in Cowboys last 4 conference games.
  • Under is 8-1 in Cowboys last 9 games in November.
  • Under is 7-1-1 in Cowboys last 9 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-1 in Cowboys last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Under is 26-10-1 in Cowboys last 37 games overall.
  • Under is 18-7-1 in Cowboys last 26 games following a straight up loss.
  • Under is 18-7-1 in Cowboys last 26 games following a ATS loss.
  • Under is 5-2 in Cowboys last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Under is 14-6 in Cowboys last 20 games on turf.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Road team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
  • Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
  • Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
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