College Football Week 7 Picks: Texas A&M Aggies vs. Mississippi Rebels

Texas A&M Aggies vs. Mississippi Rebels
Saturday, 10/12/13, 8:30 PM EST
Opening Point Spread:  Texas A&M -5
Current Betting Line:  Texas A&M -6
Opening Total:  75.5
Current Total:  75.5
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Texas A&M Aggies are 3-5 ATS as road favorites since 2011
The Texas A&M Aggies are 3-5 ATS as road favorites since 2011

Texas A&M has won back-to-back games since its high-profile loss to Alabama, including a 45-33 victory over the Arkansas Razorbacks as 13.5-point road favorites on Sept. 28.  The Aggies have a 5-0 SU all-time record against the Rebels, but the last four match-ups have been decided by a touchdown or less, which is important to consider when making your college football betting picks in Week 7.  The program will be seeking its 10th straight win away from Kyle Field.  Texas A&M is 7-1 SU and 3-5 ATS as road favorites the last two-plus seasons, with no clear edge in terms of the betting total (4-4 Over/Under).

The Aggies have scored first in 17 of 18 games under second-year head coach Kevin Sumlin, which can’t be ignored when looking over the college football odds page.  Texas A&M has outscored opponents by a 200-68 margin under his direction.  Sophomore quarterback Johnny Manziel needs 81 total yards to reach 7,000 career yards in his 19th career game.  The team has been solid in the turnover margin category with 10 takeaways against just five turnovers, which is tied for the best in the Southeastern Conference and tied for 18th nationally.

Mississippi returns to Oxford for only its second home game of the season, as it looks to snap a two-game losing streak, with both of those setbacks coming on the road against the Auburn Tigers and Alabama Crimson Tide.  The Rebels are second in the conference in pass defense, which should present a stiff test for an Aggies’ offense that averages 365 yards per game through the air.  The team has played 12 true freshmen this season, which is tied for eighth-most among Division I FBS teams.  Mississippi is 2-1 SUATS as underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points the last two-plus seasons.

The Rebels are led offensively by quarterback Bo Wallace and running back Jeff Scott, as the duo have allowed them to average 27.2 points per game.  Wallace ranks sixth in the SEC in total offense, while Scott sits fourth in school history with 3,564 all-purpose yards.

Sports bettors will likely back the Aggies due to their 4-1 ATS mark in their last five road games.

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