Big 12 Football Picks: Baylor Bears vs. Kansas State Wildcats

Baylor Bears vs. Kansas State Wildcats
Saturday, 10/12/13, 3:30 PM EST
Opening Point Spread:  Baylor -10.5
Current Betting Line:  Baylor -17
Opening Total:  80
Current Total:  80
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Baylor Bears are 4-1 ATS as favorites of 10.5 o 21 points since 2011
The Baylor Bears are 4-1 ATS as favorites of 10.5 o 21 points since 2011

Baylor plays its first road game of the 2013 campaign in Week 7, as it leads the country in total offense, averaging 779.5 yards per game.  The Bears have notched four of the top-five single game yardage totals in program history this season, which is important to consider when making your college football predictions.  The team has scored at least 28 points in six of eight first-half quarters this season with its starters on the field.  Baylor is 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS as favorites of 10.5 to 21 points the last two-plus seasons, with the OVER going 3-2 in that situation.

The Bears starting offense has had 36 drives this season that have resulted in 31 scores, which can’t be ignored when looking over the college football betting lines.  Baylor quarterback Bryce Petty leads the nation in pass efficiency and yards per completion.  Running back Lache Seastrunk leads the NCAA with eight-straight 100-yard rushing games, which has played a big part in him averaging 147.3 yards per game on the ground.  The Bears are the only team in the country to be ranked in the top 10 for both passing and rushing offense.

Kansas State was plagued by penalties and turnovers in a 33-29 defeat to the Oklahoma State Cowboys as 12.5-point road underdogs last Saturday, while going OVER the betting total of 61.5.  The Wildcats got tremendous production out of quarterback Daniel Sams last time out, as he rank for 118 yards and a touchdown, while throwing for 181 yards and two scores.  On the defensive end, the unit held a potent offense to just 330 total yards, including 85 on the ground.  Kansas State is 8-2 SU and 8-1-1 ATS in October games, with the OVER going 7-3 in that situation.

The Wildcats are averaging 31.2 points per game, but they’ve been slowed down due to losing six fumbles, which has played a big part in ranking 121st in turnover margin through six weeks of the season.  Kansas State has been solid during this calendar month under legendary head coach Bill Snyder—compiling a 36-25 record since the inception of the Big 12 Conference.

Sports bettors will likely back the Wildcats due to their 20-9-1 ATS mark in their last 30 overall games.

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