College Football Week 7 Picks: San Diego State Aztecs vs. New Mexico Lobos

San Diego State Aztecs vs. New Mexico Lobos
Friday, 10/10/14, 9:30 PM EST
Opening Point Spread:  San Diego State -5
Current Betting Line:  San Diego State -5
Opening Total:  N/A
Current Total:  N/A
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The San Diego State Aztecs have won the last four meetings in this series
The San Diego State Aztecs have won the last four meetings in this series

San Diego State is 2-3 SUATS through five games this season, as it comes off a 24-13 defeat to the Fresno State Bulldogs in Week 6, while going UNDER the betting total for the fifth time.  The Aztecs will be playing their second game without the services of regular starting quarterback Quinn Kaehler, which is important to consider when making your college football predictions, as backup Nick Bawden completed just 9 of 24 passes for 84 yards last week.  San Diego State is 9-1 SU and 5-5 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record the last two-plus seasons, with the UNDER going 7-3 in that situation.

The Aztecs have won five of their last six road games in the month of October, which can’t be ignored when looking over the college football odds page, especially since fourth-year head coach Rocky Long will be facing his alma mater and a school that he coached from 1998-2008.  San Diego State running back Donnel Pumphrey is the most important player to handicap in this affair, as he ran for 94 yards on a career-high 24 attempts—moving him into 19th place on the school’s all-time rushing list.

New Mexico has alternated wins and losses over its last four contests, as it looks to build off a 21-9 victory over the UTSA Roadrunners as 17-point road underdogs, while going UNDER the betting total for a second consecutive affair.  The Lobos allowed just 341 yards last time out, which is the fewest they’ve allowed during the 2014 campaign.  Offensively, the team continues to rely heavily on its rushing game, but it ended up with just 283 yards last week—lowering its season average to 322.4 per game.  New Mexico is 2-15 SU and 8-8-1 ATS versus Mountain West Conference opponents the last two-plus seasons, with the OVER going 10-7 in those 17 opportunities.

The Lobos have dropped the last four meetings in this series, including a 35-30 setback as 14-point road underdogs last year, but they’ve gotten the cash in the last four installments.  It’s important to point out that the host has captured four of the last five games in this rivalry.

Sports bettors will likely play the total, as the UNDER is 5-1 in the Aztecs’ last six games when gaining 275 or fewer yards in their previous game.

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