College Football Week 6 Predictions: LSU Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs

LSU Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs
Saturday, 10/5/13, 7:00 PM EST
Opening Point Spread:  LSU -9.5
Current Betting Line:  LSU -9.5
Opening Total:  53.5
Current Total:  53.5
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The LSU Tigers are 20-1 SU following a loss under Les Miles
The LSU Tigers are 20-1 SU following a loss under Les Miles

LSU stays on the road, as it attempts to bounce back from a 44-41 defeat to the Georgia Bulldogs as three-point road underdogs last Saturday, while going OVER the betting total for a fifth consecutive contest.  The Tigers have won 20 of their last 21 games against the Rebels, which can’t be ignored when making your college football predictions in Week 6.  The program is 20-1 under head coach Les Miles following a loss, while it has scored 30 or more points in the first five games of a season for the first time in school history.  LSU is 4-1 SUATS as favorites of 3.5 to 10 points the last two-plus seasons, with the UNDER going 3-2 in that situation.

The Tigers had their streak of 34 consecutive wins when scoring at least 30 points snapped last week, which is important to consider when looking over the college football odds page.  LSU is averaging 474 yards per game, with quarterback Zach Mettenberger leading the way, as he’s thrown for 1,398 yards and 13 touchdowns, including a career-high 372 yards against the Bulldogs.

Mississippi State will face a ranked opponent in this series for the 12th consecutive year, as it looks to build off a 62-7 victory over the Troy Trojans as 13.5-point home favorites on Sept. 21, while going OVER the betting total of 58.  The Bulldogs’ depth chart on both sides of the football features just six starting seniors, while it possesses 12 freshman.  In this year’s two home games, the program has outscored its opponents by a 82-7 margin in the first half, including a 56-0 advantage in the second quarter.  Mississippi State is 0-11 SU and 3-8 ATS as underdogs the last two-plus seasons.

The Bulldogs are plus-five in turnovers this season, which is the top mark in the SEC due to forcing eight opponents’ miscues and committing just three.  Mississippi State quarterback Dak Prescott is off to a solid start, as he’s tied for sixth in the conference with nine total touchdowns, while racking up 924 total yards.  In 51 drives this season, the team has held opponents to three plays or less on 47.1 percent of the time.

Sports bettors will likely back the Tigers due to the favorite being 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings in this series.

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