College Football Week 6 Picks: Nevada Wolf Pack vs. San Diego State Aztecs

Nevada Wolfpack vs. San Diego State Aztecs
Friday, 10/4/13, 9:00 PM EST
Opening Point Spread:  SDSU -5.5
Current Betting Line:  SDSU -5
Opening Total:  55.5
Current Total:  57
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Nevada Wolf Pack are  0-3 SU as underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points since 2011
The Nevada Wolf Pack are 0-3 SU as underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points since 2011

Nevada is coming off a thrilling 45-42 comeback win over Air Force as 11-point home favorites last Saturday, while going OVER the betting total of 58.5.  The Wolf Pack were led offensively by quarterback Cody Fajardo, who accounted for 470 yards of total offense and five touchdowns, which is important to consider when making your college football betting picks.  With the passing attack in full effect, the receiving corps has benefited, especially Brandon Wimberly setting career highs with 15 catches last week.  Nevada is 0-3 SU and 2-0-1 ATS as underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points, with the UNDER going 2-1 in that situation.

The Wolf Pack will go as far as Fajardo can take them, as he ranks second nationally in completion percentage.  Nevada’s defense has created some major opportunities for the offense during the 2013 campaign—leading the Mountain West Conference and ranking ninth in the country with a +1.40 turnover margin.  A total of 27 players have made their collegiate debuts for the program this season, including six true freshmen.

San Diego State is set to open conference play in a nationally-televised game at Qualcomm Stadium, as it prepares to be showcased on ESPN for the first time since Nov. 27, 1999.  The Aztecs have won seven consecutive conference games, as it came into this season as the defending Mountain West champion.  Last week, the team picked up its first victory of the season, overcoming a 16-point deficit for the eighth time in school history.  San Diego State is 4-0 SU and 3-0-1 ATS as home favorites of 3.5 to 7 points since 2011.

The Aztecs have allowed opponents to rush for a total of 50 yards on 47 carries for a 1.06 per rush average over the last two games.  San Diego State has lost five straight conference openers, which can’t be ignored when looking over the college football odds page.  The winning team has scored at least 26 points in all five meetings in this series, with Saturday’s host coming out on top in the last two affairs.  There’s no question this is a big game on both sides, as numerous players on both sides played high school ball together.

Sports bettors will likely back the Aztecs due to their 6-1 ATS mark in their last seven conference games.

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