College Football Week 6 Picks: Memphis Tigers vs. Cincinnati Bearcats

Memphis Tigers vs. Cincinnati Bearcats
Saturday, 10/4/14, 7:00 PM EST
Opening Point Spread:  Cincinnati -6.5
Current Betting Line:  Cincinnati -3
Opening Total:  61.5
Current Total:  62.5
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Cincinnati Bearcats own a .723 win percentage since 2007
The Cincinnati Bearcats own a .723 win percentage since 2007

Memphis has alternated wins and losses in its first four games, as it looks to bounce back from a 24-3 setback to the Ole Miss Rebels as 21-point road underdogs last Saturday, while going UNDER the betting total for a second consecutive contest.  The Tigers rank 12th nationally with a +1.25 turnover margin, but they also gained a season-low 104 yards last week, which can’t be ignored when making your Week 6 college football betting picks.  Memphis is 3-15 SU and 10-8 ATS as underdogs the last two-plus seasons, with the UNDER going 11-7 in that situation.

The Tigers own a 18-13 series advantage over the Bearcats, which is important to consider when looking over the college football odds page, but they’ve gone just 6-8 when playing in Cincinnati.  Through four games this season, Memphis is averaging 395.5 yards of total offense—doing it in a balanced way by gaining 751 yards on the ground and 847 through the air.  Quarterback Paxton Lynch has completed 81-of-134 passes for 847 yards and five touchdowns, as he continues to gain experience after starting 12 games a year ago as a redshirt freshman.

Cincinnati may suffer a letdown after dropping a 50-28 decision to the Ohio State Buckeyes as 17-point road underdogs in Week 5, as it was out-gained by a signicant 288-yard margin.  The Bearcats’ .723 win percentage since 2007 ranks 12th in the country, but it’s important to point out that this affair will take place at Paul Brown Stadium, as the program’s home facility is receiving a facelift this season.  Cincinnati is 7-3 SU and 6-4 ATS as favorites of 3.5 to 10 points since 2012, with no clear edge in terms of the betting total (5-5 Over/Under).

The Bearcats have a major player in quarterback Gunner Kiel, who has thrown 14 touchdown passes through his first three collegiate games and he leads the American Athletic Conference with a 185.8 rating.  Cincinnati has 10 scoring drives of 90 seconds or less in 2014, which is impressive due to having a banged up offensive line that has already used eight different starters.

Sports bettors will likely back the Tigers due to their 4-2 ATS mark when getting 3.5 to 10 points in their last six opportunities.

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