College Football Week 12 Picks: Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Mississippi State Rebels
Saturday, 11/16/13, 7:45 PM EST
Opening Point Spread:  Alabama -24.5
Current Betting Line:  Alabama -25.5
Opening Total:  52
Current Total:  52
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Alabama Crimson Tide are 8-0 SUATS as favorites of 21.5 to 31 points since 2011
The Alabama Crimson Tide are 8-0 SUATS as favorites of 21.5 to 31 points since 2011

Alabama improved to 9-0 on the season after picking up a 38-17 victory over the LSU Tigers as 14-point home favorites last Saturday, while going OVER the betting total for a fourth consecutive affair.  The Crimson Tide have won five straight in this series and 10 of the last 12 matchups, which is important to consider when making your college football expert picks in Week 12.  The program is sitting in the top spot in the current BCS standings—ahead of the Florida State Seminoles, Ohio State Buckeyes and Baylor Bears.  Alabama is 8-0 SUATS as favorites of 21.5 to 31 points the last two-plus seasons, with the OVER going 6-2 in that situation.

The Crimson Tide are led offensively by the steady play of quarterback AJ McCarron, who has 34 career wins, while the defense has allowed the fewest first downs in the Southeastern Conference.  Alabama is third in the SEC and 10th in the nation in terms of time of possession, while it has out-gained its last seven opponents by an average of 229.9 yards per game.  McCarron has been sacked just four times in the team’s last eight games.

Mississippi State is looking to snap a two-game losing streak, which includes a 51-41 defeat to the Texas A&M Aggies as 19.5-point road underdogs last Saturday, but it has won the statistical battle in its last four contests.  The Bulldogs will be facing a top-ranked Crimson Tide squad for the sixth time in school history—posting a 1-4 record in the previous affairs.  Offensively, the team is led by the play of dual-threat signal-caller Dak Prescott, who is the leading rusher and passer on campus.  Mississippi State is 0-14 SU and 4-10 ATS as an underdog the last two-plus seasons, with the UNDER going 9-5 in those 14 opportunities.

The Bulldogs have faced a challenging schedule through nine games, with their opponents putting together a combined 60-27 record.  Mississippi State is averaging 459.2 yards of total offense a game, which would shatter the school record of 422.0 set in 1982.

Sports bettors will likely back the Bulldogs due to the home team being 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.

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