College Football Betting Preview: #24 Missouri Tigers at Toledo Rockets

#24 Missouri Tigers at Toledo Rockets
Glass Bowl – Toledo, Ohio

Saturday, September 6, 2014, 12:00 pm Eastern, TV: ESPN
Opening Line: Missouri -5 1/2
Current Line: Missouri -3 1/2
Opening Total: 61
Current Total: 60
Opening Money Line: Missouri -180 / Toledo +160
Current Money Line: Missouri -170 / Toledo +150

Missouri is a slight road favorite at Toledo Saturday.
Missouri is a slight road favorite at Toledo Saturday.

The Missouri Tigers and Toledo Rockets  meet for the second time ever Saturday in Toledo. Missouri won last year in Columbia 38-23 and the two teams will complete the home and home this year.

Missouri opened the season at home against South Dakota State and the Tigers won 38-18. Toledo won at home against New Hampshire 54-20 last week.

Missouri is coached by by Gary Pinkel. Missouri was a 25 point favorite against South Dakota State and the total was 53.5. The Tigers took a 21-7 lead at the end of the first quarter and would lead 21-10 at halftime. The Jackrabbits pulled within 21-18 early in the third quarter. Marcus Murphy ran back the ensuing kick off and Missouri would go on to win 38-18.

Missouri had 393 total yards including 215 rushing yards. South Dakota State had 365 total yards including 246 passing yards. Each team had 5 penalties. The Jackrabbits had 3 turnovers. Missouri had 19 first downs to 15 for SDSU. South Dakota State was 5/15 on third down conversions, and Missouri was 5/13 on third and fourth down conversions.

Missouri quarterback Maty Mauk completed 13 of 21 passes for 178 yards and 3 touchdowns. Running back Russell Hansbrough had 20 carries for 126 yards and a touchdown. Receiver Darius White had 2 catches for 83 yards and 2 touchdowns. Bud Sasser also caught a touchdown pass.

Toledo is coached by Matt Campbell. The Rockets were 11 point favorites at home against New Hampshire last week and the total was 63.5. Toledo was down early in the second 14-3 to New Hampshire. The Rockets then scored 27 straight points to take control of the game 30-14. New Hampshire scored to make it 30-20 but Toledo would score the last 24 points of the game to win 54-20.

Toledo had 666 total yards including 306 rushing yards. New Hampshire had 375 total yards including 37 rushing yards. New Hampshire had the only turnover of the game. Toledo had 34 first downs and was 9/13 on third down conversions. New Hampshire had 24 first downs and was 10/18 on third and fourth down conversions.

Toledo quarterback Phillip Ely completed 24 of 34 passes for 337 yards and 4 touchdowns. Running back Kareem Hunt had 20 carries for 136 yards and 2 touchdowns. Damion Jones-Moore had 7 carries for 70 yards and a touchdown. Corey Jones and Alonzo Russell each had 78 receiving yards. Jones had a touchdown. Justin Olack had two touchdown catches.

Missouri is 6-1-1 ATS after allowing 20 points or less, 5-1 in road games, 4-1 against teams with winning home records, 8-2-1 after a straight up win, 4-1-1 after a straight up win, 11-3 after failing to cover, 11-3-1 overall, 7-2 against teams with winning records, 9-3-1 on fieldturf, 18-7-1 in September, 7-3-1 after rushing for over 200 yards, and 1-3-1 against MAC teams.

Toledo is 4-1 after gaining more than 450 total yards and 200 rushing yards, 3-1-1 in non-conference games, 6-2-1 in September, 5-2 at home and after passing for more than 280 yards, and 1-6 against teams with winning road records.

Missouri has too much for Toledo, and should win this game in what should be a high scoring affair.

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