College Basketball Picks: USC Trojans vs. San Diego State Aztecs

USC Trojans at San Diego State Aztecs
Thursday, 11/17/11, 10:00 PM EST, TV:  N/A
Opening Point Spread:  San Diego State -6.5
Current Betting Line:  San Diego State -6
Opening Total:  122
Current Total:  119.5
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

Big South Tournament
The San Diego State Aztecs are home favorites over the USC Trojans despite being 1-10 all-time in the series

USC travels south to take on San Diego State after suffering a 64-61 double-overtime loss at home to the Nebraska Cornhuskers earlier in the week.  The Trojans managed to shoot just 33.3 percent from the field and 54.5 percent from the free-throw line in that particular contest.  It’s a very challenging schedule to start the season, as seven of its first 10 opponents return at least four starters from a year ago.  USC is 17-7 ATS as an underdog the last two-plus seasons and the ‘under’ is 13-10 in those contests.

The Trojans hardly ever get blown out under coach Kevin O’Neill, as 16 of the 30 losses under his direction have been decided by six points or less.  USC’s schedule features 22 of 31 games against teams that finished last year with a record of .500 or better.  Not much is expected from this youthful roster, picked to finish seventh by media members that cover the Pac-12 Conference.  Sophomore guard Maurice Jones paces the team in scoring 17.0 points per game, while forward Dewayne Dedmon is grabbing nine boards a contest.

San Diego State returns home after suffering its first loss of the season, falling 77-67 to the Baylor Bears as nine-point road underdogs.  The Aztecs are known for bouncing back, winning their last eight games following a defeat.  Fans inside the Viejas Arena are looking for the program to snap a five-game losing streak to tonight’s opponent, as the team is 1-10 all-time versus USC.  San Diego State is 13-3 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points.

The Aztecs have registered a dominating 84-11 record inside tonight’s venue since the start of the 2005-06 season, including just two losses over the past two-plus campaigns.    San Diego State has also managed to win 45 consecutive games against unranked opponents, while looking to move its home winning streak to nine games in November.  Junior guard Chase Tapley is the team’s offensive leader through four games, averaging 21.8 points and comes off a career-high 28-point effort versus the Bears.

Bettors will likely back the Aztecs due to their 4-1 ATS record following a loss, while the Trojans are 0-4 in their last four opportunities.

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