College Basketball Picks: Duke Blue Devils vs. Kentucky Wildcats

No. 9 Duke Blue Devils vs. No. 3 Kentucky Wildcats
Tuesday, 11/13/12, 9:30 PM EST, TV:  ESPN
Opening Point Spread:  Duke -1
Current Betting Line:  Duke -3.5
Opening Total:  139.5
Current Total:  140.5
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Duke Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS as neutral court favorites of 3.5 to 6 points since 2010

Duke opened the 2012-13 season with a 74-55 win over Georgia State as 19.5-point home favorites, while going UNDER the posted total of 133.  The Blue Devils were led by Mason Plumlee’s 19 points offensively, while Seth Curry and Tyler Thornton also reached double-figures in scoring with 15 and 13 points respectively.  The program faces a big test on Tuesday night in facing the defending national champions.  “We’re really excited about it,” stated Curry this week.  “It’s going to be a good test for us.”  Duke is 4-1 ATS as a neutral court favorite of 3.5 to 6 points, which is significant when making your college basketball sports picks.

The Blue Devils have compiled a 6-3 record since the 2009-10 campaign in games featuring top 10 opponents, while going 8-1 all-time when playing inside the Georgia Dome.  Duke is also facing an SEC opponent for just the second time in the last seven years, but has gone 25-8 versus opponents from that particular conference under Coach K’s direction.

Kentucky picked up a dramatic 72-69 victory over Maryland as 10.5-point neutral-court favorites to begin the season, as it now looks to improve upon its 11-8 all-time mark against Duke.  The Wildcats are playing back-to-back games on a neutral floor to open up a campaign for the first time since 2002-03.  Head coach John Calipari’s 103 wins over the last three-plus seasons ranks as the best total of any other coach in that span.  Kentucky is 3-0 ATS as an underdog over the last two-plus seasons, with all three of those games going UNDER the total.

The Wildcats have garnered an impressive 93-22 all-time record in the month of November, including a 19-1 mark in that situation under Calipari’s watch.  Kentucky owns a 127-62 record against schools comprising of the Atlantic Coast Conference, but 71 of those games have come against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets.  Since the 1999 SEC Tournament, Kentucky has gone 12-3 in Atlanta, including a 12-2 mark inside this venue.

Sports bettors will likely fade the Wildcats in this spot, as they’ve gone 3-12-1 ATS versus ACC opponents.

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