Big 12 College Basketball Picks: TCU Horned Frogs at #8 Kansas Jayhawks

Texas Christian Horned Frogs at #8 Kansas Jayhawks
Phog Allen Fieldhouse – Lawrence, Kansas

Saturday, February 21, 2015, 4:00 pm Eastern, TV: ESPN2
Opening Line: Kansas -11
Current Line: Kansas -11 1/2
Opening Total: 130
Current Total: 131
Opening Money Line: Kansas -1100 / TCU +750
Current Money Line: Kansas -800 / TCU +575

Kansas looks to remain in first place in the Big 12 as they host TCU Saturday.
Kansas looks to remain in first place in the Big 12 as they host TCU Saturday.

The 21-5 Kansas Jayhawks are looking for at least a share of the Big 12 regular season title for the 11th straight season. The Jayhawks still lead the conference with a 10-3 record but two losses in the last four games have narrowed the gap to one game over 9-4 Iowa State. Next up for the Jayhawks is a home game against 16-10 Texas Christian. The Horned Frogs are 3-10 in conference and in ninth place ahead of only 2-12 Texas Tech. TCU has won 2 straight games after a 7 game losing streak.

Kansas leads the series 8-1 against TCU including 3-0 in Lawrence. The Jayhawks won in Fort Worth 64-61 January 28. The game was very close despite the Kansas bench outscoring the TCU bench 35-4 in that contest.

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TCU is coached by Trent Johnson. The Horned Frogs have home losses to West Virginia, Baylor, Oklahoma, Kansas, and Texas along with  road losses to Kansas State, West Virginia, Iowa State, Baylor and Texas . The Horned Frogs went 13-0 in non-conference play. The Horned Frogs also have home wins over Washington State, UTSA, Oklahoma State and Kansas State 69-55 Wednesday, along with neutral site wins over Bradley and Mississippi State in a tournament in Corpus Christi, and a road win over Ole Miss and Texas Tech. TCU is 9-11 ATS and the total is 7-10 this season. The Horned Frogs were 3.5 point favorites against Kansas State and the total was 120.

Kansas is coached by Bill Self. The Jayhawks have losses to Kentucky in Indianapolis, plus road losses at Temple, Iowa State Oklahoma State and West Virginia 62-61 Monday. Kansas is 13-0 at home this season. The Jayhawks have home wins over UC-Santa Barbara, Florida, Kent State, UNLV, Texas Tech,  Oklahoma State, Oklahoma, Kansas State, Iowa State and Baylor. Kansas has neutral site wins over Rhode Island, Tennessee and Michigan State in a tournament in Orlando, plus over Utah in Kansas City. The Jayhawks have road wins at Georgetown, Baylor, Texas, TCU and Texas Tech. Kansas is 15-9-1 ATS and the total is 12-11-1 this season. The Jayhawks were 1.5 point favorites against West Virginia and the total was 145.5.

TCU is outscoring teams 68-60 this season. The Horned Frogs are #31 nationally in points allowed. TCU is shooting 43.3% from the field and 33.5% from 3 point range. TCU makes 59.4% of their free throws. The Horned Frogs are #350 out of 353 teams in free throw shooting. Opponents are shooting 38.3% from the field including 33% from 3 point range. TCU is #22 nationally in field goal defense. The Horned Frogs average 38.4 rebounds per game and opponents average 31.1. TCU is #30 nationally in rebounding. TCU averages 13.7 assists, 12.1 turnovers, 6.3 steals and 5.4 blocks per game. Opponents average 9.8 assists, 13.3 turnovers, 5.8 steals and 4.3 blocks per game.

TCU guard Kyan Anderson averages 13 points, 1.4 rebounds, 4 assists, and 1.5 steals per game. Trey Zeigler averages 8.7 points, 4 rebounds, and 2.2 assists. Kenrich Williams averages 8.5 points, 6.7 rebounds, 1.2 assists and 1.1 blocks per game. Karviar Shepherd averages 6.1 points, 5.8 rebounds, and 1.1 assists per game. Chris Washburn averages 6.4 points, 5.9 rebounds, 1.3 assists, 1.3 steals and 1.5 blocks per game. Amric Fields averages 7 points and 3.4 rebounds per game. Brandon Parrish, Chauncey Collins, and Hudson Price will also get  minutes in the rotation. Guard Charles Hill, Jr. is suspended indefinitely.

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Kansas is outscoring teams 72-64 this season. The Jayhawks are shooting 44.5% from the field and 40.9% from 3 point range. Kansas is #8 nationally in 3 point shooting. The Jayhawks make 70.6% of their free throws. Opponents are shooting 39.5% from the field and 32% from 3 point range. Kansas averages 38.5 rebounds per game and opponents average 31.1 per game. The Jayhawks are #26 nationally in rebounding. Kansas averages 14.3 assists, 12.6 turnovers, 6.4  steals and 5 blocks per game. Opponents average 11.5 assists, 11.3 turnovers, 6 steals and 5.2 blocks per game.

Kansas forward Perry Ellis averages 13.3 points, 6.9 rebounds, 1.3 assists, and 1.1 steals per game. Frank Mason III averages 12.4 points, 3.7 rebounds, 4.3 assists, and 1.3 steals per game. Wayne Selden, Jr. averages 9.9 points, 2.7 rebounds, and 3 assists. Cliff Alexander averages 7.6 points, 5.5 rebounds, and 1.3 blocks per game. He is questionable with a sternum injury. Kelly Oubre, Jr. averages 8.7 points, 4.8 rebounds, and 1.1 steals per game. Devonte Graham, Brannen Greene, Jamari Traylor, and Landon Lucas will also get time in the rotation.

TCU is 8-18 ATS after a straight up win and 1-4 against teams with winning records.

Kansas is 5-0-1 ATS after failing to cover, 7-0-1 at home, 19-6-2 against teams with losing road records, 24-8-1 after a straight up loss, 10-4-1 overall, 14-6-1 against teams with winning records, and 29-13-2 against Big 12 teams. The home teams has covered 4 of the last 5 games in this series.

As recently as last Saturday, TCU looked left for dead. However, the Horned Frogs showed signs of life with upsets over Oklahoma State and Kansas State. TCU can be dangerous and Kansas shouldn’t overlook them. The Jayhawks win and the game shouldn’t be as close as the earlier meeting in Fort Worth.

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