ACC Betting Preview: Duke Blue Devils at (21) North Carolina Tar Heels

Jela Duncan-duke-2015Duke-(21) UNC
Time: NOON EDT
Spread: UNC -7.5
Total: 58

Betting odds c/o 5dimes

North Carolina has not lost since its week 1 stinker against South Carolina. As victors of seven straight games and holders of the No. 21 ranking, it will host the Duke Blue Devils in a game that NCAA football oddsmakers are favoring the Tar Heels by 7.5 points. The over/under for the game is 58.

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UNC is atop the ACC Coastal division and last week knocked off Pittsburgh 26-19. Marquise Williams had a monster game, throwing 14 of 23 for 270 yards with two TDs and no picks, while also rushing for 52 yards on nine attempts. RB Elijah Hood had 98 yards on 20 attempts, and WR Ryan Switzer had 126 yards on five receptions including a 71-yard catch.

Mack Hollins only caught two passes but one was a 49-yard reception and the other was 32-yards.

On the season Williams has thrown 119 of 180 for 1,623 yards, while having rushed for 528 yards with a 6.9 yard per carry average. Williams has 11 TD passes but has thrown seven INTs. Hood has rushed for 744 yards on the season and leads the team with eight TDs.

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Switzer has caught 30 passes for 428 yards, while Quinshad Davis leads the team in total receptions with 33 (for 352 yards). Hollins leads the team in TD receptions with six.

Kicker Nick Weiler is having a good season having hit 14 of 16 FGA including four of five from 40-plus yards.

Duke lost to the Miami Hurricanes last week 30-27, but it was lost on a bizarre 8-lateral kick return for a TD. The kick was returned for 75 yards and gave Miami the edge.

Thomas Sirk threw 31 of 52 for 258 yards with a TD, while Jela Duncan was good for 51 yards on seven attempts, with one TD. Sirk rushed for another 51 yards himself and Shaun Wilson and Shaquille Powell combined for another 77 yards on 17 carries combined.

Duke WRs Max McCaffrey (nine receptions for 90 yards), Braxton Deaver (4 catches, 46 yards) and Terrence Alls (five catches, 45 yards) all had nice games as Duke improved to 3-1 in ACC play.

Sirk has thrown for 1,788 yards on the season with a 60 percent completion ratio, and he has 12 TD passes with just three INTs. Sirk’s passer rating on the year is 125.6, and he has rushed for 481 yards and three TDs.

No. 1 back Powell has rushed for 351 yards on 85 carries with three TDs and the Blue Devils have 16 rushing TDs as a team. McCaffrey has caught 34 passes to lead the team and he has 450 yards (13.2 per attempt) on those catches to go with a trio of TDs on the season.

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RECENT TRENDS
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Duke
Blue Devils are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Blue Devils are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 6-1-1 in Blue Devils last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

North Carolina
Under is 7-1 in Tar Heels last 8 games following a ATS win.
Under is 7-1 in Tar Heels last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-1 in Tar Heels last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

Head to Head
Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in North Carolina.
Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

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