AAC Showdown Week 8 College Football Picks: Connecticut Huskies at Cincinnati Bearcats

brendon kay-cincinnati-2013UConn-Cincy
Time: Noon ET, Oct 19, 2013
Spread: CIN -14.5
M/L: CIN -620; CON +460
O/U: 45.5

Odds courtesy of 5dimes

Cincinnati scored a big 38-20 win over Temple last week to improve to 4-2 on the season and this week the Bearcats will take on one of the worst teams in the AAC, UConn. The Bearcats are big 14.5 point favorites according to college football oddsmakers at 5dimes, and given the offensive success of the team against tough opponents, it would seem Cincy would be able to put up big numbers against Connecticut.

Brendon Kay was deadly accurate with his passing last week against Temple. He threw 31 of 37 for 270 yards with two TDs and no interceptions. Perhaps his most impressive numbers came in the 66-9 pouncing of Northwestern State, when Kay needed just 15 throws (13 completed) to reach 275 yards with 4 TDs and 0 INTs. Kay has grown a lot in his senior season and his 71.6 percent completion ratio ranks among college’s best.

Kay has a few options in the backfield: Ralph Abernathy, Hosey Williams and Tion Green. The trio has combined for nearly 1,000 yards, paced by Abernathy’s 327 yards on 74 carries. Cincy has the weapons to be a very good offensive team and is an underrated team in the AAC.

UConn just can’t generate offense. The Huskies average just 16.4 points per game and have averaged just 11 per game over their last two, losses to Buffalo and South Florida.

Chandler Whitmer has more interceptions on the year than touchdowns and he struggled badly last year with 16 INTs, too. UConn doesn’t really have any better options at QB, but Whitmer is capable of having good games. That just can’t be said when he’s thrown an interception every game this season.


OVER 6-0 in last 6 after accumulating less than 170 passing yards previous week; 0-5 ATS in last 5 in OCT; 0-8 ATS in last 8 after accumulating less than 170 passing yards previous game.


OVER 5-1 in last 6 vs teams with losing road records; OVER 4-1 in last 5 after accumulating more than 450 total yards in previous game; UNDER 4-1 in last 5 after accumulating more than 200 rushing yards previous game.

Head-to-head: OVER 4-1 in last 5 meetings; Home Team 6-2 ATS in last 8.

Check out Maddux Sports’ full season pick packages for 2013 college football!

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