West Region Second Round Betting Picks: #9 Oklahoma State Cowboys vs #8 Oregon Ducks

2015 NCAA Tournament
West Region Second Round
#8 Oregon Ducks vs #9 Oklahoma State Cowboys
CenturyLink Arena – Omaha, Nebraska
Friday, March 20, 2015, 6:50 pm Eastern, TV: TBS
Opening Line: Oklahoma State -1

Current Line: Oklahoma State -1
Opening Total: 137 1/2
Current Total: 136
Opening Money Line: Oklahoma State -115 / Oregon -105
Current Money Line: Oklahoma State -120 / Oregon +100

Oregon takes on Okalhoma State Friday in the west region second round in Omaha.
Oregon takes on Okalhoma State Friday in the west region second round in Omaha.

The 25-9 Oregon Ducks and 18-13 Oklahoma State Cowboys are going in opposite directions as they meet Friday in the West region second round in Omaha. The Ducks have gone 11-2 in their last 13 games, while the Cowboys have lost 6 of their last 7 games. The winner will play either the #1 seed Wisconsin Badgers or #16 seed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers in the third round Sunday.

Oregon leads the series 2-0 against Oklahoma State. The teams met in the second round of the 2013 NCAA Tournament with Oregon claiming a 68-55 win in San Jose. The Ducks were a #12 seed in that game despite winning the Pac 12 tournament and upset the #5 seeded Cowboys.

Oklahoma State was 8-10 in the Big 12 and was part of a three way tie for sixth. Oklahoma State lost to bedlam rival Oklahoma 64-49 in the Big 12 quarterfinals last Thursday. The Cowboys are making their third straight trip to the tournament and 27th overall. OSU went 4-9 against NCAA Tournament teams this season.

Oregon went 13-5 in the Pac 12 and tied for second with Utah. The Ducks advanced to the pac 12 Championship game last Saturday in Las Vegas but were crushed 80-52 by Arizona, the third time this season the Ducks lost to Arizona by at least 18 points. Oregon is also making their third straight tournament appearance and the 13th overall. Oregon is 4-6 against tournament teams this season.

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Oklahoma State is coached by Travis Ford. The Cowboys have road losses at South Carolina, Iowa State, Kansas, Kansas State, Oklahoma, TCU, Texas Tech and West Virginia,  along with home losses to Maryland, Oklahoma, Iowa State and West Virginia. The Cowboys have home wins over Milwaukee, North Texas, Middle Tennessee, Kansas State, Texas, Texas Tech, Baylor, Kansas and TCU, neutral site wins over Oregon State and Tulsa in a tournament in Las Vegas and Missouri in Kansas City, and road wins over Memphis, Texas and Baylor. OSU is 14-14 ATS and the total is 12-1 this season. The Cowboys were 5 point underdogs against Oklahoma and the total was 134.

Oregon is coached by Dana Altman. The Ducks have neutral site losses to Michigan and VCU in Brooklyn, and to Arizona in the Pac 12 tournament, home losses to Ole Miss and Arizona, plus road losses to Washington State, Washington, Arizona and UCLA. Teh Arizona loss last week snapped a 7 game winning streak for the Ducks. Oregon has home wins over Detroit, Toledo, Portland State, CS-Northridge, UC-Santa Barbara, UC-Irvine, Oregon State, Arizona State, USC, UCLA, Washington, Washington State, Colorado and Utah, neutral site wins over Illinois in Chicago, Colorado and Utah in the Pac 12 Tournament, and road wins over Arizona State, USC, California, Stanford, and Oregon State. Oregon is 18-15 ATS and the total is 15-17 this season. Oregon was a 12.5 point underdog against Arizona and the total was 147.5.

Oklahoma State is outscoring teams 68-62 this season. The Cowboys are shooting 44.2% from the field and 35.6% from 3 point range. The Cowboys make 73.1% of their free throws and are #45 nationally in that category. Opponents are shooting 40% from the field and 33.6% from 3 point range. The Cowboys are #54 nationally in field goal defense. OSU averages 32.7 rebounds per game and opponents average 31.4 per game. Oklahoma State averages 11.5 assists, 12.3 turnovers, 8 steals and 4.9 blocks per game. Opponents average 11.2 assists, 14 turnovers, 6.0 steals and 3.5 blocks per game.

Guard/forward Le’Bryan Nash averages 16.8 points, 5.4 rebounds, 2 assists and 1.1 blocks per game. Guard Phil Forte III averages 15.5 points, 2.1 rebounds, 1.7 assists and 1.9 steals per game. Anthony Hickey, Jr. averages  9.8 points, 4.2 rebounds, 3.5 assists and 2 steals per game. Michael Cobbins averages 6.8 points, 5 rebounds and 1.9 blocks per game. Six other players average at least 11 minutes per game.

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Oregon is outscoring teams 76-71 this season. The Ducks are #26 nationally in scoring. Oregon shoots 46.1% from the field and 36% from the field. The Ducks make 76% of their free throws and are #13 nationally in that category. Opponents are shooting 42.1% from the field and 33% from 3 point range. Oregon averages 36.4 rebounds per game and opponents average 31.4 per game. The Ducks average 14.2 assists, 11.8 turnovers, 5.7 steals and 4.3 blocks per game. Opponents average 12 assists, 11.6 turnovers, 5.6 steals and 2.7 blocks per game.

Joseph Young averages 20.2 points, 4.5 rebounds and 3.7 assists and 1.1 steals per game. Elgin Cook averages 13.2 points, 5.2 rebounds, 1.6 assists and 1 steal per game. Dillon Brooks averages 11.5 points, 4.9 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game. Dwayne Benjamin averages 8.5 points, 5.8 rebounds, and 1.1 steals per game. Jalil Abdul-Bassitt averages 8.2 points, and 1.8 rebounds per game. Three other players average around 20 minutes a game.

Oklahoma State is 6-1-1 ATS after scoring less than 50 points, 3-7 in NCAA Tournament games, 4-11 in neutral site games, 1-4 after a straight up loss, in Friday games after a cover, and against Pac 12 teams, 1-5 against teams with winning records, and 1-6 overall.

Oregon is 4-0 ATS after a straight up loss, 10-1 in Friday games, 7-1 overall, 5-1 ATS against teams with winning records, 4-1 in NCAA Tournament games, 8-3 against Big 12 teams, 11-5-1 in neutral site games, 19-9-1 in non-conference games, and 2-6 after a straight up loss of 20 points or more.

This should be a high scoring affair as both teams are comfortable running. Oreon has been playing very well recently except against Arizona. I am a little surprised Oklahoma State is favored in this game. I think the Ducks win a close hard fought game.

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