Week 7 College Football Betting Picks, Odds: San Jose State Spartans at Nevada Wolf Pack

San Jose State at Nevada

Time: 3 PM CST

Spread: NEV -2.5

Total: 59.5

Odds c/o 5dimes

The Nevada Wolfpack is 3-2 on the season following its 3-54 loss to Hawaii. The Wolfpack are 2-1 at home where it hosts San Jose State as 2.5-point favorites in Week 7 college football odds. The over/under is set at 59.5 points according to college football oddsmakers at 5dimes, and the game will kick off at 3 PM CST Saturday.

NEV

Nevada may be 3-2 this season, but both of its losses were really bad ones. It fell 6-77 to Oregon in week 2 and 3-54 to Hawaii last game. Accordingly, the numbers on Nevada are not good: The team is allowing 39.2 points per game while scoring under 20 (19.8, No. 115). The rushing offense ranks outside the top-100, and its pass offense nearly does as well. Nevada picks up just 127 rushing yards per game and just over 200 passing yards.

Starting Wolfpack quarterback Carson Strong has had his accuracy issues. He completes 59.7 percent, but he averages just 5.4 yards-per-attempt and already has thrown five interceptions, with just three TD passes. He has also been sacked eight times for 50 total lost yards. Somehow, his passer rating is a respectable 105.3, but that is inflated and deceiving, as he has been mediocre, not good. Strong also averages less than a yard on his 19 carries this season.

The top-two running backs have been good, but not sensational. Toa Taua averages 4.4 yards-per-attempt on his 61 carries for 269 yards and two touchdowns. No. 2 back Jaxson Kincaide has rushed 32 times for 146 yards and a touchdown. Backup quarterback Christian Solano ranks No. 3 in rushing yardage with 132 yards on his 20 carries. Solano has been good overall, and he completed 11 of 17 in the loss to Hawaii, though he amassed just 59 yards and threw an interception in that effort. He also threw an interception in the win over UTEP on Sep. 21. While he is an excellent rusher, two interceptions on just 36 attempts is obviously a giant red flag.

Top-two receivers Elijah Cooks and Kaleb Fossum have combined to catch 43 of the 111 total receptions for 260 and 195 yards, respectively. Only Cooks has a touchdown, though, with four of the team’s five receiving touchdowns. Kicker Brandon Talton has hit all 10 of his field-goal attempts, including a long of 56-yards. He has missed one of his 10 PATs, though.

SJS

San Jose State is 3-2 on the season and 1-1 Mountain West play. It knocked off New Mexico 32-21 last outing. The Spartans have lost to Air Force and Tulsa, while also having defeated Northern Colorado and Arkansas. The Spartans are 2-1 at home this season.

Starting quarterback senior Josh Love has thrown 112 of 181 (61.9 percent) for 1,418 yards and seven TDs on the season (with just one interception and seven sacks). Love’s passer rating is an outstanding 139.3. Backup quarterback Nick Nash also serves as the top running back. Nash has 37 rush attempts for a team-best 232 yards while averaging a team-high 6.3 yards-per-carry and tying lead running back DeJon Packer with three TD rushes.

Packer averages just 3.8 yards-per-attempt, but he leads the team with 48 attempts on the season. No. 2 option Tyler Nevens has 135 yards on 36 carries and one touchdown. Only Nash averages better than four per. Tre Walker leads the team in receptions (25) and yardage (360) but has yet to score a touchdown. San Jose State has nine receiving touchdowns, with tight end Derrick Deese Jr and wide receiver Jermaine Braddock tying for the team lead with two touchdowns apiece.

ATS TRENDS (C/o Covers):

San Jose State
  • Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
  • Spartans are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Spartans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Spartans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.
  • Spartans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
  • Spartans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Spartans are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
  • Spartans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Spartans are 5-14-1 ATS in their last 20 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Nevada
  • Wolf Pack are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in October.
  • Wolf Pack are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
  • Wolf Pack are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.
  • Wolf Pack are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Wolf Pack are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a bye week.
  • Wolf Pack are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Wolf Pack are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games.
  • Wolf Pack are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
  • Wolf Pack are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Wolf Pack are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.
  • Wolf Pack are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
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