Week 4 College Football Picks: Boston College Eagles at Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Boston College at Rutgers

Time: 11 AM CST Saturday

Spread: BC -7.5

Total: 58

Odds c/o 5dimes

Boston College suffered its first loss last week, falling 24-48 to Kansas after having defeated Virginia Tech and Richmond in Weeks 1 and 2. The Eagles head to Rutgers as 7.5-point favorites in Week 4 NCAA Football action, and the over/under is set at 58 total points according to NCAA Football oddsmakers at 5dimes. The game will kick off at 11 AM CST Saturday on the Big Ten Network.

BC

Boston College has had, overall, good success with Anthony Brown at quarterback. He has thrown 41 of 76 for 633 yards with six TD passes and no interceptions. Brown has rushed another 15 times for 54 yards and a TD. AJ Dillon is the lead back with 67 attempts for 318 yards and four touchdowns. Between Brown and No. 2 back David Bailey, the Eagles get two-thirds of its rush attempts. Bailey has 160 yards on 32 attempts (5 per-carry). Brown’s top-three receivers have all fared well. Say Flowers has three catches for 101 yards and another 126 rushing yards on his eight carries. Hunter Long has six catches for 101 yards and Kobay White leads the team with seven catches and 133 yards.

AJ Dillon has done well as a receiver in limited plays with four catches, but two having been TD catches and 61 total yards. With Dillon and Flowers both performing the roles of WR and RB, the Eagles have a more versatile and dangerous offense than usual this season. But having given up 48 points to Kansas, the defense is something of a concern. The Eagles did limit the Virginia Tech Hokies to 28 points in Week 1, but there are looming concerns that this team can be exploited, especially via the rush. Kansas picked up 329 rushing yards while having its way with the defensive ends. The Jayhawks averaged 7.3 yards-per-carry, and it also gained 238 via the pass, so the secondary was not really stellar either despite one interception in the game.

RUTGERS

Rutgers is 1-1 after defeating Massachusetts 48-21 in Week 1, but being shutout 0-30 to Iowa last week in Week 2. The Scarlet Knights have had a fair bit of disparity between those two opponents, but it is hoping it can manage to get a win this week before facing No. 11 Michigan next week in Week 5.

Rutgers has had some shaky play at quarterback where McLane Carter has thrown just 57 percent for completion and has twice as many interceptions (four) as touchdowns (two). He has been sacked just twice and has some promise, but the Scarlet Knights have his four interceptions and Artur Sitkowski has one on his 11 throws, as well.

Lead backfield performer Isaih Pacheco has fared well. He has 29 attempts for 192 yards (6.6 per-carry) with four touchdowns on the season. Raheem Blackshear has another 18 carries for 69 yards, but he has no touchdowns. No other player has significant rushes, and Carter has carried just twice for a total loss of 13 yards. Bo Melton and Blackshear are doing the receiving. Melton has seven catches for 144 yards and Blackshear leads the team in receptions with 13 for 125 yards. Both have scored one TD.

So far, so good, for kicker Justin Davidovicz. He has hit 6 of 6 PATs and 2 of 2 on field goals, though he has yet to attempt past the 30-yard line. Tyshon Fogg has been a beast for the defense with seven solo tackle, 11 assisted tackles, for a total of 18. Drew Singleton ranks No. 2 with just 10. The Scarlet Knights have just three sacks thus far but have 15 tackles-for-loss.

ATS TRENDS (C/o Covers):

Boston College
  • Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
  • Eagles are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games.
  • Eagles are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Eagles are 35-16-2 ATS in their last 53 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
  • Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.
  • Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
  • Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
  • Eagles are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. Big Ten.
  • Eagles are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
  • Eagles are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
  • Eagles are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in September.
Rutgers
  • Scarlet Knights are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
  • Scarlet Knights are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
  • Scarlet Knights are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.
  • Scarlet Knights are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Scarlet Knights are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
  • Scarlet Knights are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
  • Scarlet Knights are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Scarlet Knights are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week.
  • Scarlet Knights are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
  • Scarlet Knights are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.
  • Scarlet Knights are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Scarlet Knights are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Scarlet Knights are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
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