Week 2 NCAA Football Picks: Vanderbilt Commodores at Purdue Boilermakers

Big South Tournament

Vanderbilt at Purdue

Time: 11 AM CST

Spread: PUR -7

Total: 55.5

Odds c/o 5dimes

Vanderbilt’s early-season schedule is unforgiving. After opening Week 1 with its 6-30 loss to Georgia, it takes on Purdue as 7-point underdogs in Week 2. Week 3 sees it host No. 6 LSU. An 0-3 start is something Vandy seeks to avoid hopefully, and its best chance at securing an early-season ‘W’ is this week as a full TD underdog. The over/under is set at 55.5 points according to NCAA football oddsmakers at 5dimes, and the game will kick off 11 AM CST Saturday on the Big Ten Network.

VANDY

Vanderbilt certainly has its problems with No. 3 Georgia in Week 1. Despite a solid 14 of 25 passing performance from Riley Neal, he managed just 3.4 yards-per-completion en route to just 85 yards on the game. Deuce Wallace threw 2 of 6 for another 24 yards. Ke’Shaun Vaughn had a good game out of the backfield with 74 yards on 15 rushes, but no Vandy players reached the end zone. The scoring came in form of two field goals by place kicker Ryley Guay who knocked down 2 of 2 including a long of 46-yards. Georgia’s backfield battered the Commodores for 323 rushing yards and two rushing TDs, and Jake Fromm threw for another 156 yards on the game. Vanderbilt was not expected to hang with Georgia, but it trailed 14-0 after the first quarter and 23-6 at the half.

Neal is now in his senior season and he threw for 1,917 yards with 11 TDs and four interceptions last year while posting a 114.4 passer rating. Neal had a 57.9 percent completion percentage, which was down from his impressive 2016 when he threw for 2,541 yards at a 61.4 percent clip. His freshman season was a 2,276-yard campaign with a 58.3 percent mark.

PURDUE

Purdue lost 31-34 to Nevada in Week 1. Elijah Singular threw 34 of 52 for 423 yards with four touchdowns and two interceptions. Sindelar ran another seven times for 26 yards. Purdue gained just 96 yards via the rush with Zander Horvath rushing for 66 on 19 attempts with a long-rush of 13-yards. Purdue’s top receivers were Rondale Moore and Brycen Hopkins. Moore had 124 yards on 11 catches with a TD, and Hopkins added another 84 yards on six catches with a TD.

David Bell and Jackson Anthrop each caught 49-yard and 38-yard TD passes as well. Purdue averaged 12.4 yards-per-catch on its 34 receptions, and it was a good start for the team but it had just as much trouble defensively, unfortunately. Purdue surrendered 295 yards to Charlie Strong including three TD passes and zero picks, while the Nevada Wolfpack rushed for another 109 yards on its 25 carries. Purdue led 24-7 at the half, but it scored just one touchdown in the second half while surrendering 27-points to Nevada.

ATS TRENDS

Vanderbilt
  • Commodores are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.
  • Commodores are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.
  • Commodores are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Commodores are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
  • Commodores are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
  • Commodores are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
  • Commodores are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.
  • Commodores are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.
  • Commodores are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Commodores are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Purdue
  • Boilermakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
  • Boilermakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
  • Boilermakers are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Boilermakers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in September.
  • Boilermakers are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Boilermakers are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games following a ATS loss.
  • Boilermakers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games.
  • Boilermakers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Boilermakers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Boilermakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • Boilermakers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

OU TRENDS

Vanderbilt
  • Over is 4-0 in Commodores last 4 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-0 in Commodores last 4 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.
  • Over is 7-1 in Commodores last 8 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-1 in Commodores last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
  • Under is 4-1 in Commodores last 5 games overall.
  • Under is 4-1 in Commodores last 5 road games.
  • Over is 4-1 in Commodores last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-1 in Commodores last 5 games in September.
  • Under is 7-2 in Commodores last 9 non-conference games.
  • Under is 25-8-1 in Commodores last 34 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
  • Over is 5-2 in Commodores last 7 games on grass.
  • Under is 7-3-1 in Commodores last 11 vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Over is 7-3 in Commodores last 10 games following a ATS loss.
  • Under is 23-10-1 in Commodores last 34 games following a double-digit loss at home.
  • Under is 9-4-1 in Commodores last 14 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Under is 35-16-1 in Commodores last 52 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Purdue
  • Over is 6-1 in Boilermakers last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-1 in Boilermakers last 5 games on grass.
  • Over is 4-1 in Boilermakers last 5 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Over is 17-5 in Boilermakers last 22 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Under is 6-2 in Boilermakers last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Over is 23-8 in Boilermakers last 31 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Under is 7-3 in Boilermakers last 10 games following a straight up loss.
  • Over is 39-18-1 in Boilermakers last 58 home games.
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