Week 2 NCAA Football Picks: (25) Nebraska Cornhuskers at Colorado Buffaloes

Big South Tournament

(25) Nebraska at Colorado

Time: 2:30 PM CST

Spread: COL -3.5

Total: 64.5

Odds c/o 5dimes

The Nebraska Cornhuskers are ranked No. 25 in AP Polls after its 35-21 Week 1 victory over South Alabama. Colorado won its week 1 game 52-31 over Colorado State. This week Colorado finds itself 3.5-point favorites over visiting Nebraska. The over/under is set at 64.5 points according to college football oddsmakers at 5dimes, and the game will kick off at 2:30 PM CST Saturday on FOX.

Colorado put its full offense on display in its 52-31 Week 1 win. Steven Montez threw for 232 yards on 13 of 20 passing with two touchdowns (no interceptions) and the Colorado offense rushed for 243 yards on 40 carries (6.1 yards per) as Alex Fontenot led the efforts with 125 yards on 19 carries and three touchdown rushes. Jaren Mangham contributed 40 more yards on 11 carries with a TD, and Montez had 39 yards on his five attempts. Laviska Shenault Jr rounded out the effort with three carries for 35 yards. Colorado’s top receiver was Tony Brown with three catches for 71 yards, while Shenault contributed another 48 yards of receiving on his three catches out of the backfield. Colorado completed just 13 passes but it averaged 17.8 yards-per-completion and had two receiving TDs (Jalen Harris catching the other).

Colorado’s pass defense was not good though. It gave up 374 yards on 31 of 47 passing with three TDs, slightly redeemed by picking off two passes. It did a better job with the Colorado State rushers but gave up 131 total yards on 31 carries and 4.2 yards-per-attempt. Overall, the Buffaloes were fairly exposed defensively, and those errors could be more fully exploited by Nebraska. The Cornhuskers did only rush for 98 yards against South Alabama, though. And it had just 178 passing yards with an interception thrown by Adrian Martinez.

Nebraska ultimately still won 35-21, but if not for Dedrick Mills’ two touchdowns it might not have gone that way. The Cornhuskers generated just 8.1 yards-per-ass and failed to reach the end zone via the air. Mills two TDs were the only offensive touchdowns of the game for the Cornhuskers, outside of  Spielman returning a punt for TD. Nebraska got a big pick-6 by Eric Lee Jr.

Dylan Jorgensen hit all five PATs, but he did not attempt a field goal.

Nebraska got 66 yards on three catches from Jack Stoll, two catches for 36 yards from JD Spielman, and another 33 yards on three catches from Wan’Dale Robinson. Stoll had a 42-yard catch in the game, and Nebraska did average 13.7 yards-per-attempt, but it will have to increase its long looks in Week 2.

ATS TRENDS

Nebraska
  • Cornhuskers are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Cornhuskers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Cornhuskers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • Cornhuskers are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games on grass.
  • Cornhuskers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Pac-12.
  • Cornhuskers are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 road games.
  • Cornhuskers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Cornhuskers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
  • Cornhuskers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in September.
Colorado
  • Buffaloes are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
  • Buffaloes are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
  • Buffaloes are 19-44 ATS in their last 63 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Buffaloes are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win.
  • Buffaloes are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
  • Buffaloes are 2-8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Buffaloes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
  • Buffaloes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
  • Buffaloes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
  • Buffaloes are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

OU TRENDS

Nebraska
  • Under is 5-0 in Cornhuskers last 5 non-conference games.
  • Over is 6-1 in Cornhuskers last 7 road games.
  • Over is 5-1 in Cornhuskers last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Under is 4-1-1 in Cornhuskers last 6 games following a straight up win.
  • Over is 8-2 in Cornhuskers last 10 games on grass.
  • Over is 3-1-1 in Cornhuskers last 5 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-2 in Cornhuskers last 7 games in September.
  • Over is 5-2 in Cornhuskers last 7 games following a ATS loss.
  • Over is 10-4-1 in Cornhuskers last 15 vs. a team with a winning record.
Colorado
  • Under is 5-1 in Buffaloes last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Under is 5-1 in Buffaloes last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 10-2 in Buffaloes last 12 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Under is 14-3 in Buffaloes last 17 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-1 in Buffaloes last 5 games following a straight up win.
  • Under is 4-1 in Buffaloes last 5 games in September.
  • Under is 5-2 in Buffaloes last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
  • Under is 11-5 in Buffaloes last 16 games following a ATS win.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Colorado.
  • Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
  • Underdog is 12-4 ATS in their last 16 meetings.
  • Cornhuskers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Colorado.
  • Cornhuskers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
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