Week 13 NFL Picks: Tennessee Titans vs. Buffalo Bills

Tennessee Titans at Buffalo Bills
Sunday, 12/4/11, 1:00 PM EST, TV:  CBS
Opening Point Spread:  Buffalo -1.5
Current Betting Line:  Buffalo -3
Opening Total:  44
Current Total:  42.5
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

Titans Jaguars NFL Preview
Tennessee Titans RB Chris Johnson is coming off his best performance of the 2011 campaign

Tennessee has alternated wins and losses over the past six games, traveling to Ralph Wilson Stadium.  The Titans are 26-16 all-time against the Buffalo Bills, including a 41-17 win as nine-point home favorites on Nov. 15, 2009.  “We’re aware of where we are in the standings every week and what our situation is,” stated Titans coach Mike Munchak.  Last week’s 23-17 win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers came in dramatic fashion, with veteran quarterback Matt Hasselbeck completing his 15th touchdown pass of the season in the final three minutes.  Tennessee is 3-1 ATS as an underdog this season.

The Titans are coming off their best performance of the season on the ground last week, which was led by star running back Chris Johnson gaining a season-high 190 yards.  He will have a big chance to go over the century mark again this week, facing a Bill stop unit that ranks 21st against the run in allowing 123.8 yards per game.  It’s still a work in progress to become a dominated force in the running game, as the team moved from last to 30th in the league in rushing.

Buffalo will look to snap a four-game losing streak and was unable to capture a single win during a three-game road trip that ended with a 28-24 defeat as 9.5-point underdogs against the New York Jets.  “We have to win out, and we probably have to get some help,” commented Bills coach Chan Gailey.  Losing star running back Fred Jackson on Nov. 20 has proven to be too much to overcome offensively, as he was leading the league with 1,376 all-purpose yards when he went down.  Buffalo is 1-3 ATS as a favorite this season.

The Bills will need to play much better in the final 15 minutes against the Titans to come away with a victory, getting outscored by a 34-0 margin in the fourth quarter in the last two meetings.  Buffalo quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick put together a solid game in a losing effort, throwing for three touchdown passes.  He will be facing a defense that ranks No. 7 in the NFL in allowing just 19.3 points per game.

Bettors will likely back the Titans due to their 4-1 ATS mark as an underdog, while the Bills are 9-23-2 ATS when playing at home versus a team with a winning road record.

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