Ohio Bobcats at Bowling Green Falcons
Perry Stadium – Bowling Green, Ohio
Wednesday, November 16, 2011, 8:00 pm Eastern, TV: ESPN
Opening Line: Ohio -6 1/2
Current Line: Ohio -7 (-105)
Opening Total: 57 1/2
Current Total: 57 1/2
Opening Money Line: Ohio -260 / Bowling Green -220
Current Money Line: Ohio -270 / Bowling Green +230
The Ohio Bobcats can basically wrap up the MAC Eastern Division title with a win here against rival Bowling Green. Ohio is 7-3 overall and 4-2 in MAC Play this season under coach Frank Solich. Bowling Green is 4-6 this season and 2-4 under coach Dave Clawson. The Falcons need to win out to be bowl eligible. Ohio has won 3 games in a row, since a two game losing streak. Ohio has home wins over Gardner-Webb 30-3, Marshall 44-7, Kent St 17-10, and temple 35-31 along with road wins over New Mexico St 44-24, Akron 37-20, and Central Michigan 43-28 last week. The Bobcats have losses at Rutgers 38-26 and Buffalo 38-37 along with a home loss to Ball St 23-20. Bowling Green has lost 5 of their last 6 games. The Falcons have road wins over Idaho 32-15, Miami-Ohio 37-23, and home wins over Morgan St 58-13 and Temple 13-10. Bowling Green has home losses to Wyoming 28-27, Toledo 28-21, and last week at Northern Illinois 45-14, and road losses at West Virginia 55-10, Western Michigan 45-21, and Kent St 27-15. Bowling Green leads the overall series 36-24-2, but Ohio has won 4 straight including 49-25 last year in Athens.
Last week, Ohio traveled to Central Michigan. The Bobcats were 7.5 point favorites on the college football betting line. Ohio was only up 17-14 at halftime but pulled away in the second half to win 43-28. Each team had a turnover, and there were 19 combined penalties. Ohio had 527 yards including 309 rushing yards. Bobcat quarterback Tyler Tettleton threw for 218 yards, with 2 touchdowns and an interception, and rushed for 50 yards and a touchdown. Running back Beau Blankenship rushed for 129 yards on 25 carries with 2 touchdowns. Ryan Boykin had 16 carries for 91 yards. Receiver LaVon Brazill had 3 catches for 89 yards and a touchdown. Jerry Gross also had a touchdown catch for the Bobcats. Ohio scored a safety in the third quarter. Central Michigan had 427 total yards but only 65 rushing yards.
Ohio is averaging 465.6 yards a game including 260.1 passing yards and 205.5 rushing yards. The Bobcats score 33.3 points a game. Ohio has 21 turnovers and has allowed 17 sacks this season. The Bobcats are 79/158 on third and fourth down conversions, and 38/46 scoring in the red zone with 25 touchdowns. Ohio gives up 342.8 total yards, including 211.6 passing yards and 131.2 rushing yards a game. The Bobcats are allowing 22.2 points a game. Ohio has forced 19 turnovers and 14 sacks this season. Bobcat opponents are 65/173 on third and fourth down conversions, and 26/30 scoring in the red zone with 18 touchdowns. Ohio has 2 defensive/special teams touchdowns this season. The Bobcats average 6 penalties a game for 64 yards.
Tettleton is 191/302 for 2,459 yards, 22 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, along with 97 carries, 337 yards, and 6 touchdowns. Running back Donte Harden has 117 carries, 725 yards, and 2 touchdowns, along with 16 catches, 190 yards, and 2 touchdowns. Boykin has 103 carries, 428 yards and a touchdown, along with 14 catches, 92 yards, and a touchdown. Blankenship has 64 carries, 310 yards, and 4 touchdowns . Brazill has 47 catches, 829 yards, and 9 touchdown catches, plus a rushing touchdown. Riley Dunlop has 29 catches, 394 yards, and 5 touchdowns. Donte Foster has 20 catches, 231 yards, and 3 touchdowns. He is questionable with a concussion for Wednesday’s game. Kicker Matt Weller is 38/39 on extra points and 17/23 on field goals with a long of 48 yards. Ohio has 7 players listed as questionable or out for the season, including 3 tight ends and 2 defensive players.
Bowling Green hosted Northern Illinois last week. The Falcons were 6 point underdogs. Bowling Green scored first to take a 7-0 lead, but the Huskies scored 24 straight points to take control of the game. The Falcons scored a late touchdown to make the halftime score 24-14, but were shut out in the second half 21-0 to make the final 45-14 NIU. The Falcons had 334 total yards including 255 passing yards from quarterback Matt Schilz. Schilz threw 2 touchdown passes and no picks. Receiver Kamar Jorden had 8 catches, 152 yards, and 2 touchdowns. Bowling Green had 8 penalties and a turnover. Northern Illinois had 623 total yards including 283 rushing yards.
Bowling Green averages 391.2 yards a game including 267.1 passing yards and 124.1 rushing yards. The Falcons score 24.8 points a game. Bowling Green has 23 turnovers and has allowed 22 sacks. The Falcons are 56/164 on third and fourth down conversions, and 28/39 scoring in the red zone with 20 touchdowns. The Falcons give up 400 yards a game including 208 passing yards and 200 rushing yards a game. BGSU allows 28.9 points a game. The Falcons have forced 12 turnovers and 18 sacks. Bowling Green opponents are 52/148 on third and fourth down conversions, and 33/38 scoring in the red zone with 26 touchdowns. The Falcons have one special teams touchdown this season.
Schilz is 208/346 passing for 2,556 yards, with 21 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Running back Anthon Samuel has 130 carries, 777 yards, and 4 touchdowns, and 13 catches for 75 yards. Jamel Martin has 63 carries, 228 yards, and 2 touchdowns. Jordan Hopgood had 60 carries, 213 yards, and 4 touchdowns, but is out for the season with a knee injury. Jorden has 67 catches, 928 yards, and 9 touchdown catches. Eugene Cooper had 54 catches, 655 yards, and 6 touchdowns. Alex Bayer and Ray Hutson each have two touchdown receptions. Kicker Stephen Stein is 14/15 on extra points, and 8/11 on field goals with a long of 39 yards. He took over as kicker for Kyle Burkhardt midway through the season.
Bowling Green is 5-5 against the spread and the total is 6-4 this season. Ohio is 5-5 ATS and the total is 7-3 this year. Ohio has won and covered 2 straight against Bowling Green and both games went over. Ohio is 4-0 ATS in road games versus a team with a losing home records, 9-1 in November, 13-5 in conference games, 5-2 as a road favorite, 17-7-1 following a straight up win, and 15-7-1 after a cover. Bowling Green is 6-1 ATS following a double digit loss at home, 10-23 at home, 2-6 at home against teams with winning road records, 1-5 after scoring less than 20 points the previous game, 1-6 against teams with winning records, 0-4-1 in Wednesday games, and 0-4 in November.
Ohio is red hot and has dominated the series against Bowling Green recently. I see no reason for that to change in this game. Ohio should win rather easily.
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