No. 15 TCU Horned Frogs at SMU Mustangs
Saturday, 9/29/12, 7:00 PM EST, TV: N/A
Opening Point Spread: TCU -17.5
Current Betting Line: TCU -16
Opening Total: 52.5
Current Total: 54
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker
TCU will be out for revenge for last year’s 40-33 overtime loss in this series as 13-point home favorites. The Horned Frogs were actually out-gained in that contest by seven yards, but the defense has been played lights out in three games this year, leading the nation in allowing just 4.3 points per game. “I kind of got upset that Virginia got that touchdown,” commented Horned Frogs linebacker Kenny Cain. The defense has allowed just one touchdown score all year. TCU is 0-3 ATS as a road favorite of 14.5 to 21 points, with the “under” going 2-1 in that situation.
The Horned Frogs own the nation’s longest win streak at 11 games, and have won 10 of the last 12 meetings of this series featuring two teams from the Lone Star State. TCU is led by Casey Pachall offensively, who leads the nation in pass efficiency with a rating of 209.9, while the program has scored at least 27 points in 33 of its last 34 regular-season games. It’s still important to note that this is a young football team, as head coach Gary Patterson has played 15 true freshman.
SMU has gotten off to a dismal start this year in losing two of its first three games, with opponents winning the statistical battle by a triple-digit yardage margin in each contest. The Mustangs are coming off a bye week after suffering a 48-3 blowout loss to the Texas A&M Aggies as 10-point home underdogs, as the offense continues to struggle in the early going. “There’s a lot of reasons,” stated Mustangs head coach June Jones. “We’ve got a lot of new guys in there.” SMU is 2-5 ATS at home when the total is 49.5 to 56, which is important to note when making your college football predictions this week.
The Mustangs still have a chance of winning back-to-back games against the Horned Frogs for the first time since 1992-93, as they try and get the ball to running back Zach Line, who ranks fourth among active players nationally with 3,206 career yards on the ground. Former Texas Longhorns signal-caller Garrett Gilbert is still adjusting to Jones’ run-and-shoot offense, completing 23-of-49 passes and averaging 4.1 yards per attempt against the Aggies.
Sports bettors will likely back the Horned Frogs due to their 4-2 ATS record after allowing nine points or less in two straight games, while the Mustangs are 0-4 ATS after scoring that amount of points or less in their previous game.
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