The Blue Jays look to finish the month with the most home runs in baseball and pick up a fifth-straight victory on their current homestand.
Cleveland Indians at Toronto Blue Jays
Cleveland has lost six of seven games and the starting rotation has given up 16 runs over 10 innings during a current three-game skid. The Indians’ offense managed to collect just five hits, while allowing a six-run fourth inning in a 8-1 loss to the Blue Jays at the Rogers Centre last night. “I think the night belonged to Shaun Marcum,” said manager Manny Acta. “He was fantastic.” Today’s game will be the second of a seven-game road trip that has the club traveling to Toronto and Boston. The Tribe is 19-34 in road games this year (-530) and the total is 24-26 O/U in those contests. Cleveland is also 12-21 against the AL East division, while having a winning 20-18 mark against their own division. The club has been very successful playing on Saturdays, notching a 10-7 record (+660).
The all-star break is a very good time to evaluate what we have seen so far, and what we might expect going forward. As a bettor the thing I am most interested in is to spot pitchers who are going to have the potential to produce profits in the second half. One of the best ways I know of to do that is to look for pitchers who aren’t likely to be as productive and profitable in the second half as they were to start the season. If a pitcher has been steady and profitable to start the season then the public is going to be drawn to them. If those pitchers don’t quite measure up to their earlier levels of production then there is going to be value to be had. Here are five guys who could be poised for a downward adjustment in the second half:
Stephen Strasburg has captured all of the headlines and imagination recently, and he should – his first outing was special in an incomprehensible way. He’s the poster child for the youth movement on the mound these days, but he’s far from the only young guy who is doing some damage against opposing teams. Young pitchers are really paying off at the betting window as well – eight of the 25 most profitable starters who have had at least seven starts this season are under the age of 25, and two more are 25. It seems like it used to take a few years for pitchers to find their stride and settle into the role of strong starter, but guys these days are just jumping out of the gates. Beyond the profitable pitchers there are young guys tearing it up – Tim Lincecum had two Cy Youngs by 25, and David Price is leading the AL in wins at 25.
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