SEC Football Picks: Kentucky Wildcats vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs

Kentucky Wildcats vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs
Thursday, 10/24/13, 7:30 PM EST
Opening Point Spread:  Mississippi State -10
Current Betting Line:  Mississippi State -10
Opening Total:  57
Current Total:  57
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Mississippi State Bulldogs have covered their last four meetings with the Kentucky Wildcats
The Mississippi State Bulldogs have covered their last four meetings with the Kentucky Wildcats

Kentucky just went through its toughest four-game stretch in school history, as it dropped each contest against Alabama, South Carolina, Florida and Louisville, while losing the statistical battle in each of those affairs.  The Wildcats strength of schedule versus teams played already is No. 6 nationally, which is important to consider when making your college football betting picks Thursday night.  The team has recovered six fumbles this season—sitting first in college football and 27th nationally in that category.  Kentucky is 0-10 SU and 3-7 ATS on the road the last two-plus seasons.

The Wildcats “Air-Raid” offense is averaging 352.3 yards per game—featuring a nice pass-run balance that’s completing 60.1 percent of its passes and averaging 4.7 yards per rushing attempt.  Kentucky was one of the most inexperienced teams in the nation last season, with that youth movement continuing with 14 newcomers and eight true freshmen seeing action.  The road team has won six of the last seven games in this series.

Mississippi State is looking to become the first team in this series to win five games in a row, as it also looks to capture back-to-back victories for the first time in 2013.  The Bulldogs haven’t started Southeastern Conference play with an 0-3 record since 2011, while the last five games in this series have been decided by an average margin of 8.0 points.  The first half is critical in this matchup, with Thursday’s host outscoring opponents 126-48 in the first half at this venue—something to consider when looking over the college football betting lines.  Mississippi State is 6-12 SU and 9-9 ATS versus conference foes the last two-plus seasons.

The Bulldogs have manufactured 1,997 yards of total offense in four home games this season, while they’ve scored 17 rushing touchdowns overall—just one short of last year’s total in that statistical category.  Despite missing three games this year with a concussion, Mississippi State quarterback Tyler Russell is fifth on the school’s all-time list with 4,947 passing yards.

Sports bettors will likely back the Bulldogs due to their 4-0 ATS mark in the last four meetings in this series.

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