SEC Battle Week 7: (4) Florida Gators vs. Vanderbilt Commodores

Jordan Rogers has a QB rating of 125 for the 2-3 Vandy squad.
(4) Florida-Vanderbilt
Time: 6 PM EST, Saturday
Spread: FLA -8.5
Total: 40.5
M/L: FLA -335, VAN +285

Odds from Bookmaker

The Florida Gators sit up the rankings from No. 10 to No. 4 after defeating powerhouse LSU last week in a game that Mike Gillislee ran for a career high 146 yards and two TDs, while the Gators defense held LSU to a mere 200 yards.

The game was a sweet victory for the Gators, who were stomped 41-11 by the Tigers last year in Baton Rouge. Safety Matt Elam simply said he and his Gators teammates had “something to prove.”

They’ll try to keep proving their excellence this week against a Vandy team that hasn’t beaten UF in nearly 25 years. The Commodores have also lost 15 straight to AP ranked teams. The 21 straight losses to UF is only a part of the reason that college football oddsmakers have set the line 8.5 points in the Gators’ favor.

“Our guys have worked hard and I don’t see a whole lot of difference in how they approach every day and how they’ve approached each game so far this year,” Gators coach Will Muschamp said. “We’re not going to put any more hours in as coaches this week than we did a week ago, we’re not going put any less, either. We’re going to prepare very similar to what we’ve done thus far in the season, as far as what we’ve got to do to be successful and that’s winning the football game.”

Win they have. The Gators are still undefeated and have upstaged an FSU team that many thought was the best squad in Florida. The story of the Gators success has been a defense that ranks 6th in the nation, giving up only 11.4 points per game. They held the Tigers to just six points, and it was the second lowest they’d allowed all season.

That doesn’t bode well for a Vandy team that already has trouble scoring, and ranks 102nd in the nation with just 21.2 points per game. Neither the Commodores pass or rush game has been particularly good, and they didn’t fare well against their only ranked opponent, then-No. 5 Georgia, who held Vandy to just a field goal.

Bettors will have trouble with the total on this one, as Florida’s defense could potentially shut down Vandy to next to nothing. The Gators are favored by just over a touchdown, but many feel this game could be far more lopsided with the Gators possibly winning by two-plus TDs.

Florida Betting Trends:

Gators are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 following an SU win, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 after accumulating less than 275 yards previous game, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 in OCT.

Vanderbilt Betting Trends:

Commodores are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 in OCT, 9-1 ATS in their last 10 at home, 9-4 ATS in their last 13 overall, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 following an ATS win, and 1-10 ATS in their last 11 after allowing less than 20 the previous game.

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