SEC Basketball Picks: Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Florida Gators

Vanderbilt Commodores at No. 11 Florida Gators
Saturday, 2/4/12, 1:00 PM EST, TV:  CBS
Opening Point Spread:  Florida -7
Current Betting Line:  Florida -6.5
Opening Total:  145.5
Current Total:  146.5
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Florida Gators won all three meetings with the Vanderbilt Commodores last season

Vanderbilt dropped to 16-6 on the season and 5-2 in Southeastern Conference play in suffering an 82-74 loss to the Arkansas Razorbacks as two-point road favorites last time out.  The Commodores have gone “over” the total in five of their last six games, while posting a 2-4 ATS record in those contests.  The program is still outscoring its opponents by 10.0 points per game during conference play, while shooting 47.4 percent from the floor and 44.7 percent from beyond the arc.  Vanderbilt is 16-5 ATS as an underdog the last two-plus seasons.

The Commodores sport the leading scorer in all games and SEC action, with John Jenkins scoring 19.9 points per game.  He has managed to score in double figures in 55 consecutive games, while doing so in 74 contests during his career.  Vanderbilt has done a great job in defending the three-point line over the last two seasons, something that will prove critical in this matchup, allowing teams to hit just 32.2 percent of their shots beyond the arc.

Florida is taking on its fifth ranked opponent of the 2011-12 campaign and picked up two wins in the previous four tries.  The Gators are 21-11 against the Commodores under the direction of head coach Billy Donovan, including a 12-3 mark inside the O’Connell Center.  The teams have traded sweeps for the past three seasons, with the Gators taking all three meetings a year ago, including a 77-66 win in the SEC tournament as three-point favorites.  Florida is 7-8 ATS in February the last two-plus seasons.

The Gators come in with an 18-game home win streak, which is tied for the fourth-longest in program history and tied for the seventh-longest active streak nationally.  Florida has five players averaging double figures, with guard Kenny Boynton leading the way in scoring 17.5 points per game.  The team comes off a 74-66 win over South Carolina, as Boynton poured in 24 points and Bradley Beal recorded his fourth career double-double with 17 points and 11 rebounds.  Offensively, the team is averaging 80.4 points per game, shooting 47.6 percent from the field.

Bettors will likely back the Commodores due to their 19-6 ATS mark in road games, while the Gators are 7-8 ATS as a favorite.

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