Pro Basketball Picks: Dallas Mavericks vs. Golden State Warriors

Dallas Mavericks at Golden State Warriors
Thursday, 1/31/13, 10:30 PM EST, TV:  TNT
Opening Point Spread:  Golden State -3.5
Current Betting Line:  Golden State -3
Opening Total:  206
Current Total:  205.5
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Golden State Warriors are 7-4 SU at home against Western Conference rivals
The Golden State Warriors are 7-4 SU at home against Western Conference rivals

Dallas has alternated wins and losses over its last six games, as it looks to bounce back from a deflating 106-104 loss to the Portland Trail Blazers as three-point road underdogs, while going OVER the total for the fifth-straight contest.  “This type of loss is about as tough as it gets in the league,” stated Mavericks forward Dirk Nowitzki afterwards.  The Mavericks are 7-17 overall on the road, including a 4-9 mark versus Western Conference opponents.  Dallas is 11-3 ATS in January, which must be considered when making your pro basketball picks Thursday night.

The Mavericks have won eight of their last 11 games against the Warriors, but suffered a 105-101 overtime loss as 5.5-point home favorites on Nov. 19, while going OVER the posted total of 200.  Dallas has scored 100-plus points in each of its last nine games, averaging 109.4 points per game in that span on 47.8 percent shooting.  All five starters scored in double figures versus Portland—marking the third time that has happened in a span of eight games.

Golden State returns home after earning a split of its four-game road trip, including a 108-95 victory over the Cleveland Cavaliers as 1.5-point favorites last time out, while going OVER the total in all four contests in that span.  The Warriors will likely be without the services of starting point guard Stephen Curry, who is dealing with an ankle injury, but they still possess plenty of offensive weapons.  “No matter who is out there, we’re still going to play Warriors basketball,” commented Warriors forward David Lee.  Golden State is 3-1 ATS as a home favorite of three points or less this season, with the UNDER going 3-1 in that situation.

The Warriors are 14-6 overall at Oracle Arena, including a 7-4 mark versus conference foes.  Golden State is the only team in the NBA to beat the Miami Heat, Los Angeles Clippers and Oklahoma City Thunder this season, which is important to consider when looking over the pro basketball odds page.  Getting out to a fast start is important for this squad, as it has gone 22-5 when leading at the break.

Sports bettors will likely play the total in this affair, as the UNDER is 22-18 when the Warriors are home favorites of six points or less over the last two-plus seasons.

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