North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Texas Longhorns: NCAA Basketball Odds and Picks

North Carolina Tar Heels at Texas Longhorns
Wednesday, 12/19/12, 9:00 PM EST, TV:  ESPN2
Opening Point Spread:  North Carolina -4.5
Current Betting Line:  North Carolina -4.5
Opening Total:  139.5
Current Total:  139.5
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The North Carolina Tar Heels are struggling to stop other teams from scoring this year

North Carolina has won three games in a row since suffering an embarrassing 83-59 loss to the Indiana Hoosiers, as it comes off a 93-87 victory over East Carolina as 16.5-point home favorites, while going OVER the posted total of 149.  “We want to come out with a sense of urgency every game we play,” commented Tar Heels senior guard Dexter Strickland.  The Tar Heels need to start playing some defense, as they’ve allowed at least 83 points in three of their last four games.  North Carolina is 2-3 ATS as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 2010.

The Tar Heels will be playing their only road game of December in this affair, which is important to consider when making your NCAA basketball picks Wednesday night.  North Carolina has lost two of three games against Texas since the 2009-10 season, but did come away with an 82-63 blowout win as 10-point home favorites last year.  Head coach Roy Williams is 7-3 against Rick Barnes.

Texas snapped a two-game losing streak by picking up a 75-63 victory over Texas State as 15-point home favorites on Saturday, while it has gone UNDER the total in four of its last five opportunities.  The Longhorns are averaging 63.3 points per game due to starting point guard Myck Kabongo still being out of the lineup due to an ongoing NCAA investigation.  The program will needs to be respected when looking over the college basketball odds page, considering it has gone 86-3 in non-conference home games since the 2002-03 campaign.

The Longhorns have won 29 of their last 43 games against ranked opponents at the Erwin Center, which is a major statistic to take a look at, especially since they lead the Big 12 Conference in field goal percentage defense.  Texas has averaged just 12.5 turnovers the last two games, which is a big drop off from 19.3 in the first eight games.  Since Barnes arrived in Austin, the squad has gone 200-27 at home.

Sports bettors will likely back the Longhorns due to their 7-4 ATS mark in December, while the Tar Heels are 0-3 ATS versus teams that allow 64 or fewer points this season.

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