NFL Weekly Picks, Betting Trends: Seattle Seahawks at Carolina Panthers

Seattle at Carolina

Time: NOON CST, FOX

Spread: SEA -7

Total: 49.5

Odds c/o 5dimes

The Seattle Seahawks are 10-3 on the season, but it suffered defeat last week to the L.A. Rams, which snapped a five-game win streak for Seattle. This week it travels to Carolina to face the Panthers as 7-point favorites in NFL weekly odds. The over/under is set at 49.5 points, and the game will air at Noon (CST) on FOX.

SEA, News & Notes: 

The Seattle Seahawks trail San Francisco by one full game for the NFC West lead. The final game of the regular season is against the 49ers, so it could potentially set up an exciting fight for the division crown. Seattle has got it done with the NFL’s third-best rushing offense, which generates 140.8 yards per game. The Seahawks balance it well, ranking No. 11 in passing yards and creating an offense that ranks No. 6 overall in scoring at 26.2 per game. Defensively things have been less than stellar, but the Seahawks have fared well in close games this season and are 10-3 despite having just a 1.5 point positive differential.

Veteran quarterback Russell Wilson has turned in another impressive season. He has thrown for 3,422 yards at a 66.8 percent clip with 26 touchdowns to just five picks. His passer rating is 107.5. Wilson’s top-two targets have cleaned up. Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf have combined for over 1600 yards and 11 touchdowns. Tight end Will Dissly functions as the No. 3 option with 23 of 27 targeted passes caught for 262 yards and four touchdowns.

In the backfield, Chris Carson and Rashaad Penny have been the No. 1 and No. 2 running backs. Carson does the heavy lifting with 246 attempts on the season for over 1,000 yards, but Penny leads the team in yards-per-carry at 5.7 on his 65 carries. Wilson, of course, is a rushing threat in his own right, averaging five yards per attempt and having amassed 312 yards this season with three touchdowns. Seattle has 12 rushing touchdowns on the season.

ATS Trends (SEATTLE), C/o Covers:

Seahawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Seahawks are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

Seahawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.

Seahawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.

Seahawks are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

Seahawks are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games.

Seahawks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games on grass.

Seahawks are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 15.

Seahawks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Seahawks are 38-18-3 ATS in their last 59 games following a ATS loss.

Seahawks are 25-12-1 ATS in their last 38 games in December.

Seahawks are 37-18-3 ATS in their last 58 games following a straight up loss.

Seahawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.

CAR, News & Notes:

The Carolina Panthers are a disappointing 5-8 after having lost its last five overall. Losses to Green Bay, Atlanta, New Orleans, Washington, and Atlanta (again), have taken a 5-3 season and turned it into a sub-.500 disaster of sorts.

Carolina ranks No. 19 in passing yardage and No. 12 in rushing yardage, but it has executed the small things fairly well to create a No. 14 ranked scoring offense. The major issue has not been the offense, though. The Panthers are giving up 27.7 points per game, which adds up to a differential of -4.6 points.

The Panthers have turned to Kyle Allen at QB, and he has delivered. Well, more like “sort of” delivered…Allen has 2,750 yards on 62.2 percent passing with 16 touchdowns, but he has made his miscues, with 12 interceptions, not to mention incurring 44 sacks (!) for 385 yards lost. Allen also has rushed for 76 yards on 25 attempts, averaging three yards-per-carry and having scored two touchdowns. Lead rusher Christian McCaffrey has more or less carried the offense. He has rushed 246 times for 1,220 yards and 12 of the team’s 17 rushing touchdowns. He also functions as the No. 2 receiving option with 726 yards receiving and four TD catches. DJ Moore is the WR No. 1 with 1,061 yards and four touchdowns. Carolina has scored 16 TDs via the pass, and its top-four receivers have all but one of those (backup Tight end Ian Thomas has the other).

ATS Trends (CAROLINA), C/o Covers:

Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Panthers are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games in Week 15.

Panthers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.

Panthers are 7-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Panthers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

Panthers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.

Panthers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games in December.

Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.

Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.

Panthers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC.

Panthers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.

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