NFL Week Two Monday Night Football Picks: New York Jets at Indianapolis Colts

New York Jets at Indianapolis Colts
Lucas Oil Stadium – Indianapolis, Indiana
Monday, September 21, 2015, 8:30 pm Eastern, TV: ESPN
Opening Line: Indianapolis -6
Current Line: Indianapolis -7 (+105)
Opening Total: 46 1/2
Current Total: 46 1/2
Opening Money Line: Colts -305 / Jets +240
Current Money Line: Colts -320 / Jets +260

The Colts face the Jets Monday night. Indianapolis tries to avoid an 0-2 start to the season.
The Colts face the Jets Monday night. Indianapolis tries to avoid an 0-2 start to the season.

The Indianapolis Colts look to avoid an 0-2 start as they host the 1-0 New York Jets on Monday night. The Colts and Jets were division rivals from 1970-2001, before the Colts moved to the AFC South. The Colts lead the series 41-30, but the Jets have won 3 of the last 4 meetings. New York won at home 35-9 in the last meeting in 2012 during the rookie year of quarterback Andrew Luck.

Indianapolis is coached by Chuck Pagano. The Colts lost last week at the Buffalo Bills 27-14. The Colts were one point favorite and the total was 44.5. New York head coach Todd Bowles won his debut last week as the Jets beat the Cleveland Browns 31-10 at home. The Jets were 3.5 point favorites against the Browns.

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The Colts were never in the game as Buffalo jumped out to a 17-0 lead by halftime. Buffalo would expand the lead to 24-0 early in the third before the Colts finally got on the board with a touchdown pass to Donte Moncrief from Andrew Luck. The Colts converted a two point conversion to make it 24-8 going into the fourth. Buffalo added a field goal. The Colts scored a late meaningless touchdown to make the final 27-14.

Indianapolis had 304 total yards including 240 passing and 64 rushing yards. Buffalo had 342 total yards including 195 passing and 147 rushing yards. The Colts had 23 first first downs to 15 for the Bills. Indianapolis had 3 turnovers to none for Buffalo. The Colts had 5 penalties for 49 yards and the Bills had 11 for 113 yards.

Luck completed 26/49 passes for 243 yards with 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, along with 4 carries for 20 yards. Running back Frank Gore had 8 carries for 31 yards. Receiver T.Y. Hilton had 7 catches for 88 yards. He is questionable with a knee. Moncrief had 6 catches for 46 yards and a touchdown. Phillip Dorsett, Andre Johnson and Dwayne Allen also will get some targets. Allen had a touchdown catch. Eight defensive players are listed on the injury report.

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The Jets and Browns got off to a slow start as neither team scored in the first. Cleveland quarterback Johnny Manziel came into the game for an injured Josh McCown. Manziel threw his first career touchdown pass on a beautiful 54 yard strike. However, that was one of the few highlights for the Browns. The Jets scored second quarter touchdowns on a run from Chris Ivory and a touchdown pass from Ryan Fitzpatrick to Eric Decker. New York led 14-10 at halftime. In the second half, the Jets pulled away with 17 points and the Browns were shut out. Fitzpatrick threw a touchdown pass and Ivory added another rushing touchdown. The Jets would win 31-10.

The Jets had 333 total yards including 179 passing and 154 rushing yards. The Browns had 321 total yards including 217 passing and 104 rushing yards. Cleveland had 15 first downs and New York had 18. The Browns had 12 penalties for 109 yards and the Jets had 4 for 30 yards. Cleveland had five turnovers and New York had one.

Fitzpatrick is subbing for injured quarterback Geno Smith who is out indefinitely with a broken jaw suffered in a locker room fight during training camp. Fitzpatrick completed 15/24 passes for 179 yards with 2 touchdowns and an interception. Ivory had 20 carries for 91 yards with 2 touchdowns, plus a catch for 9 yards. He is questionable with a groin injury. Bilal Powell had 12 carries for 62 yards along with 2 catches for 16 yards. Tommy Bohanan will get more carries if Ivory can’t go. Marshall had 6 catches for 62 yards and a touchdown. Chris Owusu had 4 catches for 55 yards. Decker had 2 catches for 37 yards and a touchdown.

New York is 4-0 ATS overall, 5-0 against AFC teams, 4-1-1 in week two, 3-1-2 after a straight up win, 3-1-1 against teams with losing records, 8-3-1 after scoring more than 30 points, 1-4-1 after rushing for more than 150 yards, and in September. Five of the last six games in this series have gone over the total, and the total is 4-1 in Indianapolis between the teams. The Jets have covered 4 of the last 5 games in this series.

Indianapolis is 18-3 ATS after a straight up loss, 9-2 after rushing for less than 90 yards, 16-4-1 after failing to cover, 4-1 after scoring less than 15 points, 21-6-1 at home, and 9-3 in Monday games, 18-7-1 against AFC teams, 5-2 in September games, 7-3-1 on fieldturf, and 2-5-1 against teams with winning records. The home team is 5-2 ATS in this series recently.

The Colts didn’t look good against Buffalo’s defense, and the Jets might be equally as good on defense. Still, they are playing at home, and I like the Colts to win a close low scoring game.

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