NFL Week 6 Picks Against the Spread: Indianapolis Colts vs. New York Jets

Indianapolis Colts at New York Jets
Sunday, 10/14/12, 1:00 PM EST, TV:  CBS
Opening Point Spread:  New York -3.5
Current Betting Line:  New York -3
Opening Total:  42
Current Total:  43.5
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

Colts Jets NFL Preview
New York Jets QB Mark Sanchez is really struggling without any weapons in the passing game

Indianapolis will hit the road for the first time in a month in traveling to MetLife Stadium to take on New York, as the youthful roster gets ready to play its second game without head coach Chuck Pagano, who missed last week’s 30-27 come-from-behind win over the Green Bay Packers as 6.5-point home underdogs due to being diagnosed with a form of leukemia.  Veteran wide receiver Reggie Wayne came up with a huge performance, catching 13 passes for a career-high 212 yards, as he ranks third in the NFL with 506 receiving yards entering this round of action.  Indianapolis is 0-3 ATS off an extremely close home win by three points or less.

The Colts are being led offensively by Andrew Luck, who became the first rookie quarterback in NFL history to throw for 1,200 yards and win at least two of his team’s first four games.  Indianapolis may try to run the football a bit more in this particular matchup, considering New York ranks second to last in surrendering 172.0 rushing yards per game.  Rookie Vick Ballard is expected to get a bulk of the carries.

New York has scored a total of 17 points in losing its last two games against the Houston Texans and San Francisco 49ers, while going UNDER the total in three of its last four contests.  The Jets need to get back to their ground-and-pound style, especially when going against an opponent that’s giving up an average of 5.1 yards per rush in their base defense.  New York is 3-0 ATS after losing three of its last four games, with the OVER going 2-1 in that situation.

The Jets are sticking with Mark Sanchez under center, who completed 14 of 31 passes for a touchdown and two interceptions in Monday night’s 23-17 setback to the Texans in front of a national audience.  He ranks last in the league in connecting on just 48.4 percent of his passes, as the offensive unit is gaining just 293.4 yards per game.  New York’s secondary may serve as a stiff test for Luck even without star cornerback Darrelle Revis, as it ranks fifth in the league in surrendering 199.8 passing yards per game.

Sports bettors will likely back the Jets due to their 12-4-1 ATS mark when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game, while the Colts are 0-12 ATS versus losing teams.

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