NFL Week 5 Picks ATS: Green Bay Packers at Dallas Cowboys

Green Bay at Dallas

Time: 3:25 PM CST

Spread: DAL -3

Total: 47

Odds c/o 5dimes

The Green Bay Packers are 3-1 and in first place in the NFC North. The Packers travel to Dallas to face the 3-1 Cowboys as 3-point underdogs according to NFL odds issued from 5dimes. The over/under is set at 47 total points, and the game will kick off at 3:25 PM CST on FOX.

Green Bay suffered its first loss of the season last week, falling 27-34 to the Philadelphia Eagles. It had defeated Chicago, Minnesota, and Denver in Weeks 1 through 3.

GB

Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers keeps on ticking. He has over 1k yards on the season at a 62.3 percent completion ratio with six TDs and just one interception. The Packers rush attack has fared less well: Aaron Jones and Jamaal Williams are the top-two rushers but both average just 3.3 yards-per-attempt. Jones does have four TD rushes, but Williams has none nor are there any others with a TD to their name. Lead wideout Davante Adams also has no TDs to his credit despite 378 yards and 25 catches.

Tight end Jimmy Graham has two TDs but just nine catches and Geronimo Allison adds two more touchdowns on his eight catches. The Packers are averaging just 21.3 points per game this season, but its defense has limited opponents to 17.3 per. The +4.0 point differential is solid, while the offense has hardly been. Green Bay ranks No. 14 in pass offense and No. 26 in rush offense, generating just 86.3 yards per game from its weak backfield. Green Bay still can leverage this season to be a good one, but the team has had its glaring deficiencies even while going 3-1 thus far.

DAL

The Cowboys are 3-1 after suffering its first loss in Week 4, a 10-12 loss at the hands of the New Orleans Saints. Dallas defeated the NY Giants, Washington Redskins, and Miami Dolphins weeks 1 through 3 but a combined score of 97 to 44. Dallas has some inflated stats due to it, and pundits are still slow to take this team as seriously as a 3-0 record ordinarily would lend it to be.

Dallas ranks No. 5 in passing yardage and No. 5 in rushing yardage while possessing the 8th highest-scoring offense in the NFL at 26.8 points per game. Its weak opponents have been held to just 14 per game, and that accounts for a +12.8 point differential. This is a mirage.

Thus far Dak Prescott has been sensational with 1,143 yards, nine touchdowns and three interceptions, and a passer rating of 113.7. Ezekiel Elliot has been a workhorse, too, with 73 carries already and 19 first downs to his credit. He averages 4.4 yards-per-attempt and has three of the Cowboys’ five rushing TDs. Prescott has had success with 95 yards on 12 attempts and a TD. The Cowboys average nearly five yards per rush, and at 145.5 yards per game, it is getting the job done in volume. Amari Cooper and Michael Gallup top 200 receiving yards, and Dallas has six receiving options with 100 yards or more, including both of its tight ends Jason Witten and Blake Jarwin, with two and one, TDs, respectively as well.

The defensive effort has been headed by linebackers Jaylon Smith and Leighton Vander Esch. Smith has 36 total tackles and a sack, and Esch has 32 total tackles and 0.5 sacks. The Cowboys defense has 10 sacks on the season for 79 total yards lost by the opposing offenses.

Kicker Brett Maher is 3 of 4 on field-goal attempts, but his lone miss became from beyond midfield. He is perfect on his 14 PATs.

Punter Chris Jones is averaging 44.6 yards per punt with four of his 13 pinned in the 20. Returners average just 6.7 yards per punt on the Cowboys’ special teams.

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