NFL Week 2 Odds, Picks: Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers

Week 4 NFL Betting Trend Report

Minnesota at Green Bay

Time: NOON (CT), FOX

Spread: GB -2.5

Total: 43

Odds c/o 5dimes

The Green Bay Packers began its season with a 10-3 victory over the Chicago Bears in Week 1. It returns home to host the Minnesota Vikings as 2.5-point favorites at Noon (CT) Sunday on FOX. The over/under is set at 43 points for the game, according to NFL Oddsmakers at bookmaker 5dimes.

GB

Green Bay won a sloppy one over Chicago in Week 1, holding Chicago to just 254 total yards, as Green Bay managed only 213 total yards in the game. Aaron Rodgers completed 18 of 30 (60 percent) while throwing one TD pass, but he was sacked five times in the game for a total loss of 37-yards. He also averaged just 6.8 yards-per-completion.

Aaron Jones rushed 13 times for 39 yards, and Rodgers had three attempts for eight yards total. The Packers 22 rush attempts produced just 2.1 yards-per-attempt. Five Packers had 28 or more receiving yards in the game, paced by Marquez Valdes-Scantling, who caught four passes for 52-yards, including a 47-yard catch. Davante Adams caught four passes for 36 yards, but he missed four of his eight targeted passes.

The Packers got a solid punting performance from JK Scott, whose nine attempts averaged 47.6 yards-per-kick, with a long-punt for 63 yards and five punts landed within the 20. Mason Crosby made his only field goal, a 39-yard attempt while also making good on his PAT. Blake Martinez was the star of the defense with seven tackles, five solo, one sack, and 1.5 tackles-for-loss.

Green Bay had five sacks in the game with six tackles for loss, while the Bears had five and nine, respectively. The Packers’ Adrian Amos made the key interception in the game. Preston Smith had five tackles, two solo, and 1.5 sacks in the game. The Packers are hoping for another strong performance from its defense in Week 2 to hopefully keep a low scoring affair to see the Packers win its home opener in Week 2.

MIN

The Minnesota Vikings won its week 1 matchup, defeating the Atlanta Falcons 28-12 at home.  The Minnesota defense was dynamite in the victory, with two interceptions and a fumble recovery. Vikings quarterback Kirk Cousins attempted just 10 throws, but he connected on eight of those for 98 yards, and a touchdown. The Vikings rushed for 172 yards, with Dalvin Cook leading the team with 111 yards on 21 tries, including two touchdowns. Alexander Mattison added 49 yards on nine attempts, and Ameer Abdullah rushed twice for eight yards.

The Vikings averaged 4.5 yards-per-attempt on its 38 carries, and it scored three of its four TDs via the rush. The receiving TD was caught by team-leader Adam Thielen, who finished with three catches (on three targets) for 43 yards. Stefon Diggs caught two passes for 37 yards, including a 31-yard play. The Vikings averaged 12.3 yards-per-attempt, despite throwing just eight targeted passes. All eight were complete.

Cook rushed for 615 yards last season with a 4.6 yard-per-attempt average, and he had two touchdowns all of 2018-which he matched in Week 1. He rushed for 354 yards as a rookie in 2017, and it seems the 2017 second-round pick could be primed for a breakouts season after his Week 1 explosion.

ATS TRENDS (C/o Covers):

Minnesota
  • Vikings are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games in September.
  • Vikings are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Vikings are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Vikings are 22-9-1 ATS in their last 32 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Vikings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
  • Vikings are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
  • Vikings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
  • Vikings are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Vikings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Vikings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Green Bay
  • Packers are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games in September.
  • Packers are 35-17-2 ATS in their last 54 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
  • Packers are 4-9 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Packers are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 vs. NFC.
  • Packers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
  • Packers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC North.
  • Packers are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
  • Packers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Packers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
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