NFL Week 11 Picks: Philadelphia Eagles vs. Washington Redskins

Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Redskins
Sunday, 11/18/12, 1:00 PM EST, TV:  FOX
Opening Point Spread:  Washington -3.5
Current Betting Line:  Washington -3.5
Opening Total:  46
Current Total:  43.5
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Philadelphia Eagles are underdogs against the Washington Redskins for the first time since 2007

Philadelphia has lost five games in a row, including a 38-23 setback to the Dallas Cowboys as one-point home underdogs, while going OVER the total for the third time in four weeks.  The Eagles have won and covered the spread in three consecutive games in this NFC East series, but are still listed as underdogs for the first time since 2007.  Quarterback Michael Vick is out indefinitely with a concussion, which will cause rookie Nick Foles to make his first-ever NFL start on the road.  Philadelphia is 2-0 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points the last two-plus seasons, with the UNDER going 2-0 in that situation.

The Eagles are averaging just 223.0 passing yards per game over their last seven contests, but will be facing one of the league’s worst secondaries in Week 11, as the Redskins are surrendering 301.7 yards per game through the air.  Philadelphia ranks 29th in the league in scoring 17.3 points per game, which is quite surprising due to being the eight-best offensive unit in averaging 373.3 yards per game.

Washington has lost three consecutive games, as the offense has failed to score over 23 points in that span, while the UNDER has cashed in each of those contests.  The Redskins are 1-4 since the Major League Baseball season ended, but they still have a chance of reaching the playoffs due to the other three divisional teams having a 13-15 combined record.  Head coach Mike Shanahan has compiled a 4-9 divisional record since he arrived in the nation’s capital.  Washington is 0-4 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last two-plus seasons.

The Redskins have fallen into a slump due to rookie quarterback Robert Griffin III completing just 53.4 percent of his passes for 392 yards over the last two games.  Washington’s second-ranked rushing offense should have success running against Philadelphia, as its defensive unit is 15th in the NFL against the run.  Griffin III should also have some time to throw the football, considering the Eagles have just 14 sacks this year, which is a long way from its number of 50 a year ago.

Sports bettors will likely play the total in this affair, with the OVER going 7-2 in the Eagles’ last nine games after a double-digit loss at home.

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