NFL Week 11 Picks: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos
Sunday, 11/17/13, 8:30 PM EST
Opening Point Spread:  Denver -8
Current Betting Line:  Denver -8.5
Opening Total:  51
Current Total:  49
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Denver Broncos are a game back of the Kansas Chiefs in the AFC West standings
The Denver Broncos are a game back of the Kansas Chiefs in the AFC West standings

Kansas comes off its bye week looking to remain perfect on the season, while first-year head coach Andy Reid aims to improve his dominating 13-1 SU record when facing an opponent with rest during the regular season.  The Chiefs rank first in the NFL in total points allowed, as they’re allowing just 12.3 points per game, which can’t be ignored when making your NFL betting picks in Week 11.  The team also paces all league members with 23 takeaways.  Kansas City is 15-13 ATS as an underdog the last two-plus seasons, with the UNDER going 18-9-1 in that situation.

The Chiefs rank first in the AFC and second in the NFL holding opponents to a 67.8 passer rating through the first 10 weeks of the season.  Kansas City quarterback Alex Smith is tied for the fewest interceptions with four of players with a minimum of 200 attempts this season.  Running back Jamaal Charles figures to play a prominent role in the outcome of this affair, as his 6,932 career scrimmage yards ranks fifth in franchise history in that particular category.

Denver has won eight consecutive AFC West division games, including a 28-20 victory over the San Diego Chargers as seven-point road favorites last week.  The Broncos’ 371 points scored this season represents the highest total in league history through nine games, which has played a major part in their 8-1 record to this point.  Quarterback Peyton Manning has thrown for 3,249 yards and 33 touchdowns.  Denver is 3-1 SUATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points the last two-plus seasons, with all four of those affairs climbing above the total.

Only nine games into the season, the Broncos are already just the third team in history with three different individuals posting at least nine touchdown catches.  Denver does have a minus-two turnover margin which is tied for 20th, which is far different than Kansas City’s plus-15 mark in that all-important category.  Defensive coordinator Jack Del Rio will continue to call defensive plays on game days in addition to his duties as interim head coach with John Fox still away from the team.

Sports bettors will likely back the Chiefs due to the Broncos being 2-6 ATS in their last eight games versus winning teams.

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