New York Jets at Denver Broncos
Thursday, 11/17/11, 8:20 PM EST, TV: NFL Network
Opening Point Spread: New York -5
Current Betting Line: New York -6
Opening Total: 42.5
Current Total: 40
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker
New York received a serious wake-up call Sunday night when getting handed a 37-16 blowout loss by the New England Patriots as 2.5-point home favorites. The Jets were out-gained by just 11 yards, but too many mistakes were made over the course of the game. “There’s plenty of football left to play,” commented Jets center Nick Mangold. “We’re excited about the opportunity to get out there Thursday night.” The team has good reason to be excited about playing just a few days after this defeat, winning three consecutive Thursday games. New York is 3-1 ATS when playing on Thursday and the ‘under’ is 4-1 in that situation.
The Jets tallied a 24-20 win over the Broncos in last year’s meeting as 3.5-point road favorites, but were out-gained by 27 yards. New York will need to play the run much better than it has at any period of the season, ranking 15th in allowing 116 yards per game. On the other side of the ball, the offense is starting to gain traction on the ground, averaging 125.5 rushing yards over the past five contests. Quarterback Mark Sanchez will likely hand the ball off a lot after getting sacked five times and throwing two interceptions last week.
Denver has won consecutive games over divisional foes on the road, including a 17-10 win over the Kansas City Chiefs as three-point underdogs despite quarterback Tim Tebow completing just two passes. It’s been an impressive display over the past three games especially on the ground, as the franchise is averaging a league-high 246 rushing yards. In fact, Denver’s 1,077 rushing yards over its last five games represents the highest total in team history for a five-game stretch. Denver is 2-3 ATS as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points.
The Broncos are still in the AFC West divisional race, sitting just a game back of the Oakland Raiders despite being outscored by a 46-point margin. Denver ranks 22nd in total offense in averaging 318.1 yards per game, while the defense checks in at 18th in giving up 360.7 yards a contest. Tebow has certainly been the story and has already ran for more yards at the quarterback position than any player in franchise history in a single year.
Bettors will likely back the Jets due to their 6-1 ATS mark as a road favorite of 3.5 to 10 points, while the Broncos are 0-3-1 ATS as a home underdog at the same price.
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