NFL Thursday Night Football Betting Picks: Philadelphia Eagles at Carolina Panthers

Philadelphia Eagles at Carolina Panthers
Thursday, October 12, 2017, 8:25 pm Eastern, TV: CBS, NFL Sunday Ticket
Bank of America Stadium – Charlotte, North Carolina
Opening Line: Carolina -3
Current Line: Carolina -3 (-120)
Opening Total: 45
Current Total: 46
Opening Money Line: Panthers -175 / Eagles +155
Current Money Line: Panthers -170 / Eagles +150

The Panthers host the Eagles Thursday in a battle of 4-1 teams.

Both the Philadelphia Eagles and Carolina Panthers are 4-1 as they meet Thursday night in Charlotte. Both teams lead their respective divisions. The Eagles are in first place in the NFC East with every other team having at least two losses. The Panthers lead the NFC South by a half game over the 3-1 Atlanta Falcons who were on a bye last week.

Philadelphia leads the series 6-4 against Carolina. The Panthers have won two of the last three games against the Eagles including 27-16 in Charlotte in 2015.

Philadelphia is coached by Doug Pederson. The Eagles have  road wins at the Washington Redskins 30-17 and Los Angeles Chargers 26-24, plus home wins over the New York Giants 27-24 and Arizona Cardinals 34-7 last week, plus a loss at the Kansas City Chiefs 27-20. Against the Cardinals, Philadelphia was a  6 point favorite and the total was 45. Philadelphia is 3-2 ATS and the total is 3-2 this season.

Carolina is coached by Ron Rivera. The Panthers have a home loss to the New Orleans Saints 34-13. Carolina has a home win over the Buffalo Bills 9-3, plus road wins over the San Francisco 49ers 23-3, New England Patriots 33-30 and last week over the Detroit Lions 27-24. Carolina trailed 10-3 early in the second but scored 24 straight points to take a 27-10 lead over Detroit in the fourth. The Lions scored two late touchdowns  to pull to within 27-24 with three minutes to go. However, they would never get the ball again as the Panthers held on for the three point win. Carolina was a 2 point underdog at Detroit and the total was 42. The Panthers are 3-2 ATS and the total is 3-2.

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Philadelphia is outscoring teams 27-20 this season. The Eagles are #7 in scoring. Philadelphia averages 398 total yards per game including 259 passing and 139 rushing yards. The Eagles are in the top ten in all three categories. The Eagles allow 346 yards per game on defense including 283 passing and 63 rushing yards. Philadelphia is #2 in rush defense, but #29 in pass defense. Philadelphia is 42/77 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 11/36. The Eagles have forced 12 sacks and allowed 13 this season. Philadelphia is +2 in turnovers.

Quarterback Carson Wentz has completed 62.1% of his passes for 1,362 yards with 10 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and has 108 rushing yards on 26 carries. He has been sacked 13 times.

Running back LaGarrette Blount has 56 carries for 323 yards and a touchdown, plus a touchdown catch. Wendell Smallwood has 29 carries for 113 yards and a touchdown, plus 7 catches for 56 yards. He is questionable with a knee injury. Corey Clement has 23 carries for 69 yards and a touchdown. Darren Sproles has 15 carries for 61 yards, plus 7 catches for 61 yards. He is out for the season with a torn ACL. Donnel Pumphrey is also out for the season with a hamstring injury

Tight end Zach Ertz has 32 catches for 387 yards and 2 touchdowns. Receiver Nelson Agholor has 16 catches for 266 yards and 3 touchdowns. Alshon Jeffrey has 20 catches for 246 yards and 2 touchdowns. Torrey Smith has 13 catches for 204 yards and a touchdown. Seven defensive players, including four players in the secondary, are listed on the injury report. Kicker Caleb Sturgis is out until at least week 11 with a quad injury.

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Carolina is outscoring teams 21-19 this season. The Panthers are #8 in points allowed. Carolina averages 327 yards per game on offense including 229 passing and 99 rushing yards. On defense, Carolina allows 274 yards per game including 194 passing and 80 rushing yards per game. The Panthers are #7 or better in all three categories. Carolina is 34/68 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 27/72. The Panthers have forced 17 sacks and allowed 15 this season. Carolina is -4 in turnovers.

Quarterback Cam Newton has completed 68.3% of his passes for 1,237 yards with 8 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, plus 29 carries for 90 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns. He has been sacked 15 times. Derek Anderson is the back-up.

Running back Jonathan Stewart has 77 carries for 251 yards and 5 touchdowns, plus 6 catches for 44 yards and a touchdown.  Christian McCaffrey has 34 carries for 96 yards, plus 27 catches for 237 yards and a touchdown. Fozzy Whitaker will also get a few carries and also has a touchdown catch.

Receiver Kelvin Benjamin has 17 catches for 272 yards and a touchdown. Ed Dickson has 11 catches for 271 yards. Devin Funchess has 24 catches for 269 yards and 3 touchdowns. Rusell Shepard has 6 catches for 87 yards and a touchdown. Tight end Greg Olson is out until at least week 12 with a foot injury. Seven defensive players are listed on the injury report.

Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS against NFC teams, 6-2 overall, 5-2 in week six and on grass, and 3-7 in road games. The over is 4-1 in this series recently.

Carolina is 6-2 ATS after  gaining more than 350 yards, 12-5-1 in week six, 12-5 in October, 3-7-1 after a straight up win, 2-5 after passing for 250 yards or more, 3-8-1 Aafter allowing less than 90 rushing yards, 3-8 after rushing for less than 90 yards, 2-6 in Thursday games, 2-6-1 after a cover, 1-5 at home, and 0-6 after allowing less than 250 yards. The favorite has covered the last four games in this series.

Both teams are 4-1 but the Eagles have benefited from a favorable schedule so far. I am not saying they aren’t a good team, because they have been good in all three phases of the game. Carolina has used a dominant defense to get to 4-1. I like the Panthers to win a close low scoring game at home.

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