NFL Thursday Night Betting Preview: Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers

Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers
Thursday, October 22, 2015, 7:25 pm Eastern, TV: CBS, NFL Network
Levi’s Stadium – Santa Clara, California
Opening Line: Seattle -4
Current Line: Seattle -6
Opening Total: 41
Current Total: 42 1/2
Opening Money Line: Seahawks -230 / 49ers +190
Current Money Line: Seahawks -260 / 49ers +220

Both the Seahawks and 49ers have gotten off to disappointing 2-4 starts as they renew their rivalry in Santa Clara Thursday.
Both the Seahawks and 49ers have gotten off to disappointing 2-4 starts as they renew their rivalry in Santa Clara Thursday.

Both the Seattle Seahawks and San Francisco 49ers are 2-4 this season. The two rivals are desperate for a win as they meet Thursday in Santa Clara. Both teams are behind the 4-2 Arizona Cardinals and 2-3 St. Louis Rams in the NFC West.

Seattle leads the series 18-15 against San Francisco. The Seahawks have won 5 of the last six games in the series, including 3 straight. Seattle won 19-3 last year in Santa Clara and 17-7 in Seattle. These two teams met in the NFC Championship game two seasons ago. Seattle will host San Francisco November 22.

Seattle is coached by Pete Carroll. The Seahawks have home wins over the Chicago Bears 26-0 and Detroit Lions 13-10. Seattle has road losses at the Rams 34-31 in overtime, Green Bay Packers 27-17 and last week at the Cincinnati Bengals 27-24 in overtime. Last week, Seattle hosted the undefeated Carolina Panthers. The Panthers escaped with a 27-23 upset win.

Seattle was a 7 point favorite against Carolina and the total was 41. The Seahawks led 10-7 at halftime and expanded the lead to 20-7 in the third. However, Carolina scored to make it 20-14 going into the fourth. The Seahawks added a field goal early in the fourth make it 23-14. The Panthers scored with 3:55 left but missed the extra point to make it 23-20 Seahawks. After a Seattle punt, Carolina took over at their own 20 with 2:20 left. The Panthers drove all the way down to the Seattle 26. Cam Newton threw the go ahead touchdown to a wide open tight end Greg Olsen with 32 seconds due to blown coverage by the Seahawks vaunted Legion of Boom secondary. Seattle was unable to get past their own 39 on their last drive before time ran out. Dating back to the Super Bowl last season, it was the fifth straight loss for the Seahawks where they had a lead in the fourth quarter. Seattle is 1-4-1 ATS and the total is 3-3 this season.

San Francisco is coached by Jim Tomsula. The 49ers have home wins over the Minnesota Vikings 20-3 and last week over the Baltimore Ravens 25-20. The Baltimore win snapped a four game losing streak for the 49ers. San Francisco has road losses at the Pittsburgh Steelers 43-18, Cardinals 47-7, and New York Giants 30-27, along with a home loss to the Packers 17-3.

San Francisco was a 2.5 point underdog against Baltimore and the total was 43.5. The 49ers took a 6-0 lead in the first with 2 field goals. San Francisco would expand the lead to 16-6 by halftime. The 49ers would never trail in the second half and led by as many as 13. In the fourth the 49ers scored a touchdown but missed the two point conversion to make it 25-13. Baltimore pulled to within 5 points with 5:14 left. After a San Francisco punt, Baltimore took over at their own 20 with just over a minute left. The Ravens got all the way to the 49ers 35 yard line and were unable to complete the Hail Mary despite having two chances. Baltimore had the only 2 turnovers of the game.

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Seattle is outscoring teams 22-21 this season. The Seahawks are #11 in points allowed. Seattle is averaging 352 yards per game on offense including 215 passing yards and 138 rushing. The Seahawks are #27 in passing and #2 in rushing. On defense, Seattle is allowing 320 total yards including 220 passing and 100 rushing yards. The Seahawks are #5 or better in total and pass defense. Seattle is 34/88 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 26/75. The Seahawks have forced 13 sacks and allowed 26 this season. Seattle has two special teams touchdowns and 2 defensive touchdowns, and have allowed one of each as well. The Seahawks are +2 in turnovers.

Quarterback Russell Wilson has completed 68.9% of his passes for 1,433 yards with 7 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, along with 45 carries for 251 yards. Running back Marshawn Lynch has 55 carries for 182 yards and a touchdown, along with 10 catches for 61 yards. He missed three games with a hamstring injury but returned last week.  Thomas Rawls has 59 carries for 334 yards and a touchdown. Fred Jackson will also get some carries. He has 52 rushing yards, but does have 12 catches for 110 yards and a touchdown. He was involved in a car accident after practice Tuesday while allegedly drag racing Lynch. Neither was hurt.

Tight end Jimmy Graham has 29 catches for 344 yards and 2 touchdowns. Receiver Doug Baldwin has 26 catches for 291 yards and 2 touchdowns. Jermaine Kearse has 18 catches for 274 yards and a touchdown.  Rookie receiver Tyler Lockett has 12 catches for 138 yards. However, he has a kick return and a punt return both for touchdowns. Receiver Paul Richardson is questionable with a knee injury and hasn’t played yet this season Nine defensive players are listed on the injury report.

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San Francisco is being outscored 27-17 this season. The 49ers are #25 in points allowed and last in scoring.  The 49ers average 321 yards per game on offense including 203 passing and 118 rushing yards. San Francisco is #30 in total offense and #29 in passing. On defense, the 49ers are allowing 409 total yards per game including 306 passing and 103 rushing yards. The 49ers are #31 in total defense and last in pass defense. San Francisco is 36/87 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 34/80. The 49ers have forced 19 sacks and allowed 9 this season. San Francisco is -2 in turnovers, and has allowed 2 defensive touchdowns.

Quarterback Colin Kaepernick has completed 62.4% of his passes for 1,329 yards with 6 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, and has rushed for 228 yards on 39 carries with a touchdown. Running back Carlos Hyde has 104 carries for 430 yards and 3 touchdowns, along with 11 catches for 53 yards. He is probable with a foot injury.  Jarryd Hayne and Mike Davis will also get some carries. Reggie Bush is questionable with a calf injury.

Receiver Anquan Boldin has 28 catches for 333 yards and 2 touchdowns. He is probable with a hamstring injury. Torrey Smith has 14 catches for 323 yards and 2 touchdowns. Tight end Garrett Celek has 14 catches for 131 yards and a touchdown. Quinton Patton has 11 catches for 129 yards and a touchdown. Tight end Vernon Davis has 8 catches for 109 yards. He looks to return from a knee injury. Receivers Bruce Ellington, DeAndre Smelter, and Dres Anderson are questionable or out. Five offensive linemen are also questionable or out.

Seattle is 5-0 ATS in Thursday games, 5-1-1 in week seven, 4-1 against teams with winning records 4-1-1 against NFC West teams, 6-2-2 after allowing more than 350 total yards, 17-8-1 after an ATS loss, 18-40-2 in October, 1-5 against NFC teams, and 1-6-1 overall. The Seahawks are 6-0-1 ATS against the 49ers recently.

San Francisco is 9-2 in October, 2-5-1 against NFC teams, 3-8-1 overall, 2-6 at home, 1-3-1 after allowing less than 90 rushing yards, 1-4 in Thursday games and against teams with losing road records, 1-5-1 after gaining 350 total yards or more, 1-5 after passing for more than 250 yards, 2-10 on grass, 1-6-1 in week seven, 0-4-1 after allowing more than 350 total yards or more, and against NFC West teams. The last 4 games in this series have gone under the total.

Although Russell Wilson has taken every snap, he has also been sacked 26 times. That isn’t even counting the hits he has has taken while throwing the ball or as a runner. San Francisco should be able to get to him as they have 19 sacks already this season. Still, the 49ers struggle on offense and I like the Seahawks to win on the road but six points seems like a lot.

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