NFL Sunday Night Football Week #5 Betting Preview: New York Giants at Green Bay Packers

New York Giants at Green Bay Packers
Sunday, October 9, 2016, 8:30 pm Eastern, TV: NBC
Lambeau Field – Green Bay, Wisconsin
Opening Line: Green Bay -7
Current Line: Green Bay -7
Opening Total: 48
Current Total: 48 1/2
Opening Money Line: Packers -330 / Giants +265
Current Money Line: Packers -300 / Giants +250

The Packers host the Giants Sunday night. Green Bay is a touchdown favorite.
The Packers host the Giants Sunday night. Green Bay is a touchdown favorite.

The 2-2 New York Giants began the season 2-0 but two straight losses have them reeling a little. They look to rebound as they travel to the 2-1 Green Bay Packers Sunday night. The Giants and the Washington Redskins are behind the 3-0 Philadelphia Eagles and 3-1 Dallas Cowboys in the NFC East. Green Bay is behind the 4-0 Minnesota Vikings in the NFC North.

Green Bay leads the series 31-26-2 against New York. The Giants have won three straight games against the Packers including 27-13 in New Jersey in 2013 in the last meeting. New York has not played at Green Bay since a 2012 playoff game where the Giants upset the Packers.

New York is coached by Ben McAdoo. The Giants have a road win at the Dallas Cowboys 20-19 and a home win over the New Orleans Saints 16-13. New York has a home loss at the Redskins 29-27 and last Monday on the road at the Minnesota Vikings 24-10.  New York was a 3.5 point underdog and the total was 42.5. The Giants are 1-3 ATS and the total is 1-3.

Green Bay is coached by Mike McCarthy. The Packers had a bye last week. Green Bay has a road win at the Jacksonville Jaguars 27-23 and a home win against the Detroit Lions 34-27 two weeks ago. The Packers lost at the Vikings 17-14. Green Bay jumped out to a 31-3 lead against the Lions in the second quarter and held on for the win. Green Bay was a 6 point favorite against Detroit and the total was 47.5. The Packers are 2-1 ATS and the total is 2-1.

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New York is being outscored 21-18. The Giants average 382 yards per game on offense including 289 passing and 94 rushing yards. New York is #6 in total offense and #4 in passing. The Giants allow 346 yards per game on defense including 262 passing and 84 rushing yards. New York is #9 in rush defense. New York is 18/49 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 29/63. New York has forced 4 sacks and allowed 6 this season. New York is -8 in turnovers.

Quarterback Eli Manning has completed 66.4% of his passes for 1,186 yards with 4 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. The next win for the Giants will be his 100th career win. He also can get t0 300 career touchdown passes with 2 more touchdowns.

Leading rusher Shane Vereen is out indefinitely with a triceps injury. He has 31 carries for 147 yards and a touchdown, plus 8 catches for 75 yards. Rashad Jennings is doubtful with a thumb injury. He has 31 carries for 102 yards, plus 3 catches for 16 yards. Orleans Darkwa will likely start. He has 23 carries for 100 yards and 2 touchdowns, plus 2 catches for 12 yards. Bobby Rainey and Paul Perkins could also get some carries without Vereen and Jennings.

Receiver Odell Beckham, Jr. has 22 catches for 303 yards. His emotional antics during the two game losing streak have been well publicized. Rookie Sterling Shepard has 20 catches for 263 yards and 2 touchdowns. Victor Cruz has 16 catches for 245 yards and a touchdown after missing all of last season with an injury. Tight ends Larry Donnell and Will Tye will also contribute. Donnell is out with a concussion. Eight defensive players are listed on the injury report.

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Green Bay is outscoring teams 25-22 this season. The Packers average 294 yards per game on offense including 193 passing and 100 rushing yards. The Packers are #29 in both total and passing offense. On defense, Green Bay allows 350 total yards per game including 307 passing and 43 rushing yards per game. The Packers are #29 against the pass but lead the league in rush defense. Green Bay is 19/39 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 21/50. The Packers have forced 10 sacks and allowed 8 this season. Green Bay is even in turnovers.

Green Bay quarterback Aaron Rodgers has completed 58.5% of his passes for 617 yards with 7 touchdowns and a touchdown, along with 12 catches for 67 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Running back Eddie Lacy has 43 carries for 214 yards, plus 2 catches for 19 yards. Fullback Aaron Ripkowski is probable with a back injury.

Receiver Jordy Nelson has 17 catches for 206 and 4 touchdowns. Randall Cobb has 12 catches for 132 yards. Davante Adams had 8 catches for 99 yards and 2 touchdowns. Tight end Richard Rodgers has 5 catches and a touchdown. Tight end Jared Cook is out until early November with an ankle injury. Ten defensive players are listed on the injury report.

New York is 6-2 ATS in Sunday games after Monday games, 8-3 in week five, 4-10 against teams with winning records, 2-5 in October, 1-4 after failing to cover, and after a bye week, 1-5 after a straight up loss, overall and against NFC teams, and 0-6-1 against teams with winning home records. The Giants are 4-0 ATS against the Packers recently.

Green Bay is 4-0 ATS on grass, 4-1 in week five and overall, 10-3 after a bye week, 16-5 in October, 39-17-2 after allowing less than 90 rushing yards, and 42-19-1 after allowing more than 350 total yards. The home team is 4-1 ATS in this series recently. The over is 5-2 in this series recently.

Green Bay has struggled on offense but they showed signs of life in the first half against Detroit. New York is a mess and the Beckham situation is getting to be more and more distracting. I like the Packers coming off a bye to win big in a high scoring game.

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