NFL Sunday Night Football Betting Preview: Dallas Cowboys at Oakland Raiders

Dallas Cowboys at Oakland Raiders
Sunday, December 17, 2017, 8:30 pm Eastern, TV: NBC
Oakland Coliseum – Oakland, California
Opening Line: Dallas -3
Current Line: Dallas -3 (Even)
Opening Total: 46
Current Total: 46
Opening Money Line: Cowboys -133 / Raiders +113
Current Money Line: Cowboys -150 / Raiders +130

The Raiders host the Cowboys Sunday night in a playoff elimination game.

The Dallas Cowboys and Oakland Raiders entered the season as potential Super Bowl contenders. It hasn’t worked out that way for either team. The 6-7 Raiders host the 7-6 Cowboys Sunday night with both teams fighting to keep slim playoff hopes alive. This is an elimination game for all intents and purposes for the loser. The Cowboys are in second place in the NFC East but the 11-2 Philadelphia Eagles have already clinched the division. The Cowboys are tied with the Green Bay Packers but both teams are behind three other teams for basically one spot. The 8-5 Atlanta Falcons and Seattle Seahawks, plus the 8-6 Detroit Lions are ahead of both teams. Oakland is in third place in the AFC West behind the 8-6 Kansas City Chiefs and 7-7 Los Angeles Chargers. The Raiders are a game behind the Baltimore Ravens and Buffalo Bills for the last playoff spot in the AFC.

The Raiders lead the series 6-5 against the Cowboys. Dallas has won two straight games against Oakland including 31-24 in Texas in 2013. The Cowboys are playing in Oakland for the first time since 2005, excluding preseason contests.

Dallas is coached by Jason Garrett. The Cowboys have  home wins over the New York Giants 19-3, Kansas City Chiefs 28-17 and Washington Redskins 38-14, plus road wins over the Arizona Cardinals 28-17, San Francisco 49ers 40-10, Redskins 33-19 and Giants 30-10. The Cowboys have won two straight games. Dallas has road losses at the Denver Broncos 42-17 and Atlanta Falcons 27-7, plus home losses to the Los Angeles Rams 35-30, Green Bay Packers 35-31, Philadelphia Eagles 37-9 and Los Angles Chargers 28-6. Dallas was a 4 point favorite against the Giants and the total was 42. The Cowboys are 7-6 ATS and the total is 6-7 this season.

Oakland is coached by Jack Del Rio. The Raiders have road wins over the Tennessee Titans 26-16 and Miami Dolphins 27-24, and home wins over the New York Jets 45-20, Kansas City Chiefs 31-30 Denver Broncos 21-14 and New York Giants 24-17. Oakland has road losses to the Washington Redskins 27-10, Buffalo Bills 34-14 and Kansas City Chiefs 26-15 last week. The Raiders have home losses to the Baltimore Ravens 30-17 and Los Angeles Chargers 17-16, plus a neutral site loss to the New England Patriots 33-8 in Mexico City.  Oakland was a 4.5 point underdog against Buffalo and the total was 48.5. The Raiders are 4-8-1 ATS and the total is 5-8 this season.

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Dallas is outscoring teams  24-23 this season. Dallas is #10 in scoring.  The Cowboys average 338 yards per game on offense including 201 passing and 138 rushing yards. The Cowboys are #25 in passing  and #3 in rushing offense. On defense, Dallas allows 342 total yards including 234 passing and 107 rushing yards. The Cowboys are  81/180 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are  80/184. Dallas has forced 32 sacks and allowed 25 this season. Dallas is  +2 in turnovers and has allowed four defensive touchdowns.

Quarterback Dak Prescott has completed 63.2% of his passes for 2,752 yards with 21 touchdowns and 9 interceptions. He also has 45 carries for 288 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns. He has been sacked 25 times.

Running back Ezekiel Elliott has 191 carries for 783 yards and seven touchdowns, plus 19 catches for 210  yards and 2 touchdowns. This is the last game of his six game suspension and he will return next week. Alfred Morris has 97 carries for 485 yards and a touchdown, plus 5 catches. Rod Smith has 46 carries for 209 yards and 3 touchdown, plus 13 catches for 158 yards and a touchdown.

Receiver Dez Bryant has 61 catches for 712 yards and 6 touchdowns. Terrance Williams has 44 catches for 501 yards. Tight end Jason Witten has 52 catches for 457 yards and 5 touchdowns. Cole Beasley has 33 catches for 287 yards and four touchdowns. Brice Butler has 13 catches for 267 yards and 2 touchdowns.  He is questionable with a foot injury. Eight defensive players are injured or suspended and three offensive linemen are listed on the injury report as well. Kicker Dan Bailey is questionable with a hamstring injury.

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Oakland is being outscored 23-20 this season. The Raiders  average 329 yards per game on offense including 238 passing yards and 92 rushing yards. The Raiders are #26 in rushing. On defense, the Raiders allow 351 yards per game including 241 passing and 110 rushing yards per game. Oakland is #22 or worse in total and pass defense. The Raiders are 75/184 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 81/183. Oakland has forced 26 sacks and has allowed 21 this season. Oakland is -10 in turnovers and has allowed two defensive touchdowns.

Quarterback Derek Carr has completed 63.8% of his passes for 2,942 yards with 18 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, plus 14 carries for 15 yards. He has been sacked 17 times. E.J. Manuel played in a couple of games when Carr was out with a back injury. He threw for 265 yards with a touchdown and an interception, and rushed for 15 yards.

Running back Marshawn Lynch has 147 carries for 619 yards and 7 touchdowns, plus 13 catches for 120 yards.  Jalen Richard has 52 carries for 233 yards and a touchdown, plus 22 catches for 215 yards and a touchdown. DeAndre Washington has 52 carries for 150 yards and 2 touchdowns, plus 29 catches for 179 yards and a touchdown.

Tight end Jared Cook has 48 catches for 621 yards and 2s touchdown. He is probable with a wrist injury. Receiver Michael Crabtree has 49 catches for 562 yards and six touchdowns.  Amari Cooper has 42 catches for 499 yards and 5 touchdowns. He is out with an ankle injury. Seth Roberts has 32 catches for 332 yards and a touchdown.  Cordarelle Patterson has 28 catches for 291 yards but has 12 carries for 125 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns. Johnny Horton has 9 catches for 218 yards and 3 touchdowns. Ten defensive players and two offensive linemen are on the injury report. Kicker Sebastian Janikowski is out with a back injury and hasn’t played this season. Giorgio Tevecchio has done well as Janikowski’s replacement.

Dallas is 5-1 ATs against teams with losing home records, 4-1 in road games, 7-2 against teams with losing records, 17-5 on grass, 12-5 after a cover, and 2-5-1 in December.

Oakland is 3-1-1 ATS after allowing more than 150 rushing yards, 17-36-1 in December, 2-7-1 on grass, 1-4-1 after gaining more than 350 yards, 2-8-1 overall, 1-6-1 against teams with winning records, and 0-4-1 after rushing for less than 90 yards.

Both these teams have injuries to key players on defense and the offensive line. Neither is that great. Oakland is a tough place to play, but I think the Cowboys pull out a close win on the road.

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