NFL Picks Week 13: L.A. Rams at Arizona Cardinals

LA Rams at Arizona Cardinals

Time: 3 PM (EST)

Spread: LA -2.5

Total: 48.5

Odds c/o 5dimes

The Arizona Cardinals are just 6-5 and currently in third place in the NFC West. It hosts the visiting Los Angeles Rams, with the Rams entering as 2.5-point favorites on the road. The over-under is set at 48.5 points, and the game will kick off at 3 PM (EST) on FOX Networks.

ARI

Arizona as mentioned is 6-5. It enters as losers of three of its last four overall.

The Cardinals at one point were riding Kyler Murray from the pocket to the victor’s seat- ranking No. 1 in rushing yardage due to the dual-threat quarterback. Since that point, to has fallen to the fourth-best rushing attack and a No. 8 ranked offense, only entirely stifled by its defense that has surrendered 23.5 points per game.

Arizona generates 155.9 yards per game on the ground, while still ranking No. 15 in passing yardage at 247.8 per game. Resultantly, the offense ranks No. 8 in scoring at 27.6 points per game, while the Cardinals have a much better defense than often credited for, at least. It limits opponents to just 23.5 points per game, ranking in among the top-third of defenses.

It is hard to find any fault with what Murray has done so far. He has a 68.2 percent passing clip at 314.9 yards per game and 19 touchdowns with nine picks. He has only been sacked 18 times in 11 games despite holding the ball often, as he has to.

Murray has rushed 97 times, which lingers behind lead running back Kenyan Drake who has 168 attempts. Murray has 650 yards to his 719, dominating him in yards-per-carry at 6.7 while Drake is just at 4.3. Chase Edmonds is nearly good for nearly-five yards-per, and he has 344 yards with a touchdown. Murray has 10 of the team’s 18 rushing touchdowns this season. Drake has seven.

DeAndre Hopkins is the top receiver by a large margin. He has caught 77 of 103 targeted looks for 967 yards and four touchdowns. He also has 349 yards after the catch, and just one fumble despite the volume and additional yardage.

Larry Fitzgerald ranks No. 2 in receptions but No. 3 in yardage due to obtaining just 7.8 yards-per-catch. Christian Kirk leads the team in touchdowns with six, and he has caught 34 of 58 targeted passes. The tight end Dan Arnold has caught 76 percent of his targeted looks but averages just about 20 yards receiving per game. He recently caught his first TD pass.

Cardinals kicker Zane Gonzalez is 16 of 21 on attempts, with all five misses coming from beyond the 40, and one of those from beyond midfield. Gonzalez is 34 of 35 on PATs, and remains one of the most consistent kickers in the league. Andy Lee averages 43.9 yards and 38.4 net on his punts and has placed 11 of 36 attempts within the 20 yards line.

LAR

The LA Rams are 7-4 and are just one-half game behind 7-3 Seattle for the lead in the NFC West.

The Rams get it done with a powerful offense that generates almost 400 yards per game, ranking No. 11 in passing yardage and No. 9 in rushing yardage.

Amazingly, it amounts to just under 24 points per game, as red zone efficiency has been a problem for the Rams. That said, it has one of the stingiest defensive units in the NFL, allowing just 19.5 points per game. The Rams thus have a win differential of +4.4 points to go with its winning mark overall, three games above .500.

Quarterback Jared Goff has been consistently good this season with his 67.2 percent completion ratio and his 16 touchdowns, off-set somewhat by the 10 picks and 15 sacks for 111 yards lost. Even so, Goff has a 92.3 passer rating and he has also benefitted from having a strong core of running backs. Darrell Henderson Jr., Malcolm Brown, and Cam Akers have all been productive.

Henderson leads the way with 510 yards on 120 carries, while Brown leads in Touchdowns (5). Wide receiver Robert Woods has rushed 20 times for 115 yards, and he leads the team in yards-per-carry at 5.8 (Excluding Cooper Kupp’s four attempts).

Cooper Kupp has done most of his damage as a wide receiver, but he is an effective rusher when given opportunities. Kupp has caught 66 of 96 targeted passes, both team highs, while also leading in yardage (763) and first downs (32).

Rams kickers Matt Gay, Samuel Sloman, and Kai Forth have combined to hit 14 of 19 field goals, with Sloman having missed one from within-30 yards. The duo is just 4 of 7 from beyond the 40-yard line and 0 of 1 from beyond midfield.

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