NFL on FOX Odds, Picks, Trends: Dallas Cowboys at Indianapolis Colts

Dallas at Indianapolis
Time: NOON CT, FOX
Spread: IND -3
Total: 47

Odds c/o 5dimes

The Indianapolis Colts are 7-6 and have won six of its past seven. This week, the Colts host the Dallas Cowboys as 3-point favorites in a noontime (CT) clash on FOX. The over/under is set at 47 points according to NFL oddsmakers at bookmaker 5dimes.

IND

The Indianapolis Colts are 7-6 and in second-place in the AFC South, trailing first-place Houston by three wins. It has been a tremendous comeback season for the Colts after beginning the season by losing five of its first six games. Andrew Luck has come on big, and he has amassed 3,759 yards on the season with 34 touchdowns (and 13 interceptions).

The OL has done its job, allowing Luck to be sacked just 1.2 times per game, and his top receiver T.Y. Hilton has feasted on Luck’s throws. Hilton has 986 yards and averages 15.9 yards-per-catch, as he has racked up 285 yards after the catch with his slippery handle and speed. Eric Ebron has added another 654 yards and team-leading 12 rushing touchdowns.

The Colts have been pleased with its backfield, too. Marlon Mack of USF has led the team in rushing with 616 yards on 131 attempts (4.7 per) and he has scored five of the eight Colts’ rushing touchdowns. Jordan Wilkins has done well and leads the team in yards-per-carry at 5.6, while he too has rushed for one touchdown. Nyheim Hines has rushed for 289 more yards and the Colts average 4.2 yards-per-carry as a team. Luck has fared decently in his 31 rush attempts with 98 yards gained and a rushing TD. No. 2 receiver Eric Ebron has scored the other TD for the Colts.

Indianapolis is holding its opponents to 23.1 points per game and scoring 26.8 itself, good for a positive-3.7 point differential. With a solid rush attack and the arm of Luck, there are a lot of bettors pegging the Colts as a dark horse team to make some noise in the postseason. A win today against the Cowboys would be one step closer to securing the wild card berth it covets.

DAL

The Dallas Cowboys lead the NFC East standings at 8-5, and Dallas is winners of five-straight games entering this week. Ezekiel Elliot has led the charge for Dallas, literally, with 268 rush attempts for 1,262 yards and six rushing TDs. He also ranks No. 2 in receiving yards with 502 yards on 65 catches and three reception-TDs.

Elliot was pegged as a franchise player coming out of Ohio State, but he has seemingly even exceeded those lofty expectations as the dynamic playmaker of Dallas’ offense. Amari Cooper functions as the No. 1 receiver and he has caught 40 of 53 targeted passes while averaging a team-high 16.1 yards per catch. His 279 yards after the catch have aided that, and it has also led him to achieve 32 first downs, which also leads Dallas.

Quarterback Dak Prescott has been accurate and strong this season, too, with 3,131 yards on 68.2 percent passing. Prescott has rushed for another 303 yards on his 67 attempts, basically functioning as the No. 2 back since no one outside Elliot gets many attempts. Both Elliot and Prescott have fumbled four times apiece, but the Cowboys have been fortunate enough to recover six of those eight fumbles. Elliot has six rushing TDs and Prescott has five, accounting for the entirety of Dallas’ rushing touchdowns.

ATS TRENDS:

Dallas
  • Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.
  • Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
  • Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.
  • Cowboys are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Cowboys are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games in December.
  • Cowboys are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Cowboys are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Indianapolis
  • Colts are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Colts are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Colts are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
  • Colts are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Colts are 5-12-2 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up win.
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