Jacksonville at Denver
Time: 3:25 PM CST, CBS
Spread: DEN -2.5
Odds c/o 5dimes
The 0-3 and Denver Broncos are 0-2 on the road and 0-1 at home where it hosts the lowly Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 4. The Broncos find itself 2.5-point favorites over Jacksonville, with the over/under set at just 37 total points. The game will kick off at 3:25 PM CST on CBS and CBS affiliates.
Denver thus far has yet to really get its offense going. It has scored just 54 points through three games while surrendering 22.3 per game in its three losses. Denver’s pass offense ranks No. 24 in generating 230.7 yards per contest, while its rush attack is middle-of-the-pack at 111.3 per. Joe Flacco has been synonymous with mediocre. He has thrown 69.1 percent for completion, but he has just two touchdowns and matches that with two interceptions, not to mention 11 sacks for a total loss of 81 yards.
The Broncos backfield has scarcely been better, with the team averaging under four yards-per-carry and its lead rusher Royce Freeman having yet to score a touchdown. Philip Lindsay has a pair of rushing TDs which account for all of Denver’s, but he averages just 3.6 yards-per-carry and has yet to rush for more than nine yards on a single attempt. The Broncos have got good production from its top-two receivers, though, with Courtland Sutton having 16 catches for 247 yards, and No. 2 Emmanuel Sanders with a team-best 18 catches for 194 yards, and both of the team’s receiving touchdowns. The Broncos have been futile offensively, but not without the few bright spots, and it might be able to jumpstart things this week against Jacksonville.
Jacksonville is 1-2 on the season after defeating the struggling Tennessee Titans last week 20-7. It fell in Weeks 1 and 2, as the Kansas City Chiefs won 40-26 and the Houston Texans edged the Jaguars by a point in Week 2. Even so, the Jaguars have something of a success story at quarterback where Gardner Minshew has surprised everyone. He has completed 73.9 percent of his looks for 257.3 yards per game with five TDs and just one interception. His passer rating is an elite 110.6, and he has relegated Nick Foles’ absence to something of an afterthought. Minshew is also a good rusher, with 11 carries for 80 yards. Leonard Fournette has been consistent but not outstanding as the lead rusher, though, with 179 yards but no touchdowns on the season.
The Jaguars have two receivers topping 200-yards already, though, in DJ Chark Jr and Chris Conley. Chark has three receiving touchdowns with his 277 yards and he and Conley have combined for 19 first downs. Fournette comes out of the backfield to rank No. 3 in reception yards with 94 on 14 catches, including a long-catch of 20 yards. Jacksonville’s metrics are somewhat deceiving considering it played the Chiefs. This team could perhaps be better than its 1-2 record indicates, and Minshew is why. Both teams are searching for offensive consistency in Week 4, and are fairly evenly pitted as the Broncos search for its first win against a Jacksonville team that is tough to gauge thus far.
53 percent of bettors at covers are picking Jacksonville in this evenly matched affair.
ATS TRENDS (C/o Covers):